Agenda 02/28/2012 Item #11E2/28/2012 Item 11.E.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Recommendation to provide a summary of the Seasonal Population evaluation requested
by the Board at their November 9, 2011 public hearing for the Annual Update and
Inventory Report (AUIR) /Capital Improvement Element (Capital Improvement Element
(CIE) update on Public Facilities as provided for in Chapter 6.02.02 of the Collier County
Land Development Code.
OBJECTIVE-
Provide the BCC a synopsis of the Seasonal Population evaluation compiled by staff to evaluate
the appropriateness of the utilization of a 20 percent increase to permanent population to account
for the increase in demands the infrastructure and service providers experience during the season.
CONSIDERATIONS:
On November 9, 2011, the Board of County Commissioners (BCC) held a public hearing on the
2011 AUIR /CIE. During the meeting, the BCC directed staff to examine the appropriateness of
utilizing a twenty percent increase to the permanent population to accommodate the seasonal
increase. The additional 20 percent results in facilities larger than the permanent population
would normally require, but appropriate to the demands of the seasonal population.
Below is the current method each component of the AUIR accounts for the County's seasonal
population influx within its capital improvement programming.
AUIR Component
Population Utilized
Transportation
Population projections utilized for
Long Range Transportation Planning
only, CIE based on traffic counts
Drainage Canals and
Structures
Seasonal Population not utilized
Potable Water
Peak season within District boundary
Wastewater
Peak season within District boundary
Solid Waste
Peak season Countywide
Regional Parks
Peak season Countywide
Community Parks
Peak season Unincorporated County
Jails
Peak season Countywide
Law Enforcement
Peak season Unincorporated County
Library
Peak season Countywide
Emergency Medical Services
Peak season Countywide
Government Buildings
Peak season Countywide
Dependent Fire Districts
Peak season within District boundary
Based on the above breakdown, peak season population numbers are utilized by each component
of the AUIR with the exception of Transportation and Drainage Canals and Structures. (It
should be noted that these were the only two components of the 2011 AUIR that programmed
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2/28/2012 Item 11.E.
any projects in the 5 -year planning period.) Peak season population is simply the permanent
population and projections allocated to Collier County from the Florida Bureau of Economic and
Business Research with a 20 percent upward adjustment to account for the seasonal population
influx.
In 2007, through the Evaluation and Appraisal Report (EAR) based amendments, Department of
Community Affairs (DCA) had indicated that Collier County must agree upon a consistent
population methodology and consistently apply that methodology throughout the capital
improvement programming. The EAR based amendment ORC and subsequent correspondence
with DCA confirmed that peak season population must be used. Specifically, DCA had
indicated that Collier County must use peak season population as the basis for the Capital
Improvements Element, but the decision on the seasonal population factor was a local decision
that requires data and analysis to be substantiated. It should be pointed out that DCA did indicate
that the percentage increase for seasonal population, while a local decision, has to be applied at
the same rate for every component or subset of the CIE which utilizes seasonal population.
On January 25, 2007, to address DCA's concerns the BCC adopted a twenty percent seasonal
population methodology. To substantiate the twenty percent increase for the seasonal population
influx, the County compared the demand numbers for Potable Water, Wastwater, Solid Waste,
Hotel Occupancy, and Sales Tax for the traditional off season periods compared against the
traditional season to justify the increase. Exhibit "A" to this executive summary has compared
those same matrixes with updated numbers for 2010. While the increases are not as substantial
for most areas, as they were in 2005 when the 20 percent was established, the numbers do reveal
the expected increase in demand and would suggest that 20 percent is still a conservative number
to utilize to represent the seasonal population increase. Based upon this conclusion, staff would
recommend maintaining the 20 percent increase for the seasonal population to ensure that
infrastructure and services have capacity to accommodate the additional demands the seasonal
population influx creates. Additionally during the EAR based amendments, the BCC requested
that staff explore with the Department of Community Affairs (DCA) the possibility of utilizing
different population figures for different components of the AUIR. Prior to the 2007 AUIR, the
County had utilized different rates for population projections throughout the AUIR, with a higher
seasonal adjustment for Public Utilities, compared against the other AUIR components utilizing
population as the primary basis for system expansion. DCA did indicate that consistent
population projections have to be applied for every component or subset of the CIE /AUIR.
FISCAL IMPACT:
There are no direct fiscal impacts associated with this executive summary, but any changes to the
Seasonal Population rate will result in changes (increase /decrease based upon an
increase /decrease to the seasonal rate) to the amount of capital outlay required to provide for a
financially feasible Capital Improvement Element (CIE) update and Annual Update and
Inventory Report (AUIR)..
2
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2/28/2012 Item 11. E.
GROWTH MANAGEMENT PLAN (GMP) IMPACT:
At this time there are no direct GMP impacts associated with this executive summary, but any
change to the Seasonal Population rate would require a formal amendment to the GMP.
LEGAL CONSIDERATIONS:
This executive summary has been reviewed by the County Attorney's Office. A majority vote is
necessary for Board action. — HFAC
STAFF RECOMMENDATION:
Staff recommends maintaining the 20 percent increase for the seasonal population to ensure that
infrastructure and services have capacity to accommodate the additional demands.
Prepared by: Mike Bosi, AICP, Comprehensive Planning Manager, Growth Management
Division
Attachments: Exhibit "A" Matrix Evaluation for 2005 to 2010
3
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COLLIER COUNTY
Board of County Commissioners
Item Number:
2/28/2012 Item 11. E.
Item Summary: Recommendation to provide a summary of the Seasonal Population
evaluation requested by the Board at their November 9, 2011 public hearing for the Annual
Update and Inventory Report (AUIR) /Capital Improvement Element (Capital Improvement
Element (CIE) update on Public Facilities as provided for in Chapter 6.02.02 of the Collier County
Land Development Code. (Mike Bosi, Comprehensive Planning Manager, Growth Management
Division /Planning & Regulation)
Meeting Date: 2/28/2012
Prepared By
Name: BosiMichael
Title: Manager - Planning,Comprehensive Planning
1/24/2012 10:06:16 AM
Approved By
Name: LorenzWilliam
Title: Director - CDES Engineering Services,Comprehensive
Date: 2/2/2012 5:51:02 PM
Name: PuigJudy
Title: Operations Analyst, CDES
Date: 2/3/2012 2:16:10 PM
Name: FederNorman
Title: Administrator - Growth Management Div,Transportati
Date: 2/3/2012 4:30:10 PM
Name: MarcellaJeanne
Title: Executive Secretary,Transportation Planning
Date: 2/6/2012 9:41:37 AM
Name: AshtonHeidi
Title: Section Chief/Land Use- Transportation,County Attor
Date: 2/16/2012 3:33:14 PM
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Name: KlatzkowJeff
Title: County Attorney
Date: 2/17/2012 3:58:11 PM
Name: IsacksonMark
Title: Director -Corp Financial and Mgmt Svs,CMO
Date: 2/17/2012 4:18:35 PM
Name: OchsLeo
Title: County Manager
Date: 2/21/2012 1:52:21 PM
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2/28/2012 Item 11.E.
Exhibit "A" 2/28/2012 Item 1 1.E.
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Water (MG)
Wastewater (MG)
Solid Waste (tons)
2005
2010
2005
2010
2005
2010 -
January
851.783
703.164
511.638
473.710
February
799.570
637.806
511172
440.920
22668.05
17676.81
March
833-949
709.295
598.451
497.880
27282-00
21013.97-
April
813.573
690.351
510.611
F457.160
May
839.646
701-985
446.663
A
407.120
June
631-511
622.033
553.275
362.340
July
651.392
--675.983
575.812
518.734
406.251
August
550.803
460.401
454.687
September
670.772
591.942
468.140
--523.068
414.854
21238.71
14806.27
October
677.618
702.107
400.950
25870.40
14757.08
November
749.112
706.633
541.481
430.677
December
778.790
1 706.671
540.708
449.242
-
March
833-849
709.295 598.451
487-880
27282-000
21013.970
September
670.772 -
591.942 468.140
414.854
21238.710
14806.270
difference
1 24.31%1
19.83%1 27.84%
17.60%
28.45%
41.93°!
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COLLIER COUNTY HOTEL OCCUPANCY 2005 v. 2010
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lack W. Wert, FCDME, Executive Director, Naples, Marco Island, Everglades Conventloo & Visitors Bureau, 239403 -2402, Fax 403.2404, jackv ert @colliergov.ner
Hotel -Motel Occupancy by month 2010 - deltas
G: Comp/EAR Amendment Modifications /ORC Responses
dw jt/April 2006
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90
MARCH
APRIL
MAY
JUNE
JULY I
OCTOBER
NOVEMBER
DECEMBER
TOTALS
Sales Tax
F-v- 1200-9 % fnf-q I
736-7,215-T
11.66%
72-67-6—,632—F
—944%
Ln�s..6
6.43%
3,624,934
12.78%
2,728,756
9.62%
2,571,268
9.07%
2,594,261
9.15%
2,278,722
8.03%
2,372,305
8.36%
2,201,626
7.76%
2,498,482
8.81%
2,895,966
10.21%
jz,v4v,uuu
Delta
2005
Lo -31, � 1
72,305
25.84%
m 2005, 2010 & 2011
F.Y. 2010 % Intni
1,792,451
6.66%
2,072,523
7.70%
7.62%
6.43%
2,661,042
9.88%
2,481,972
9.22%
2,713,312
10.08%
2,935,184
10.90%
2,463,164
9.15% —
2,032,846
7.55%
1,929,369
7.17%1
1,813,886
6.74%1
6. 1,689,024
6.27%
Zb,9Z6,V()4
Delta 2010
September 2,032,846
309,286 13.21 '/-.
F.Y.2011 % total
1,951,037
6.887/.-
2,162,100
7.62%
6.43%
1,837,989
2,759,360
9.73%
2,650,880
9.35%
2,870,674
10.12%
3,100,962
10,93%
2,098,900
7,40%
21011,011
7.097%
1,823,989
6.43%
1,837,989
6.48%
28,364,09
Delta 2011
MLr0h
j_
September
2,098,900
372,387
15.07%
00
K3
0
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