Agenda 03/11/2010 W (Strategic Planning)
BCC
STRATEGIC
PLANNING
WORKSHOP
MEETING
AGENDA
MARCH 11, 2010
COLLIER COUNTY
BOARD OF COUNTY COMMISSIONERS
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AGENDA
March 11,2010
9:00 AM
BCC/Strategic Planning Workshop
County Commission Boardroom
3" Floor W. Harmon Turner Building
Fred W. Coyle, BCC Chairman Commissioner, District 4
Frank Halas, BCC Vice-Chairman Commissioner, District 2
Jim Coletta, BCC Commissioner, District 5; CRAB Chairman
Donna Fiala, BCC Commissioner, District 1; CRAB Vice Chairman
Tom Henning, BCC Commissioner, District 3
NOTICE: ALL PERSONS WISHING TO SPEAK ON ANY AGENDA ITEM MUST REGISTER PRIOR
TO SPEAKING. SPEAKERS MUST REGISTER WITH THE COUNTY MANAGER PRIOR TO THE
PRESENTATION OF THE AGENDA ITEM TO BE ADDRESSED. ALL REGISTERED SPEAKERS
WILL RECEIVE UP TO THREE (3) MINUTES UNLESS THE TIME IS ADJUSTED BY THE
CHAIRMAN.
COLLIER COUNTY ORDINANCE NO. 2003-53, AS AMENDED BY ORDINANCE 2004-05 AND 2007-
24, REQUIRES THAT ALL LOBBYISTS SHALL, BEFORE ENGAGING IN ANY LOBBYING
ACTIVITIES (INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ADDRESSING THE BOARD OF COUNTY
COMMISSIONERS), REGISTER WITH THE CLERK TO THE BOARD AT THE BOARD MINUTES
AND RECORDS DEPARTMENT.
IF YOU ARE A PERSON WITH A DISABILITY WHO NEEDS ANY ACCOMMODATION IN ORDER TO
PARTICIPATE IN THIS PROCEEDING, YOU ARE ENTITLED, AT NO COST TO YOU, TO THE
PROVISION OF CERTAIN ASSISTANCE. PLEASE CONTACT THE COLLIER COUNTY FACILITIES
MANAGEMENT DEPARTMENT LOCATED AT 3301 EAST TAMIAMI TRAIL, NAPLES, FLORIDA,
34112, (239) 252-8380; ASSISTED LISTENING DEVICES FOR THE HEARING IMPAIRED ARE
AVAILABLE IN THE COUNTY COMMISSIONERS' OFFICE.
1. Pledge of Allegiance
2. Discussion regarding the Strategic Plan of Collier County
3. Public Comment
4. Adjourn
Collier County Government
Communication &
Customer Relations Department
3301 East Tamiami Trail
Naples, FL 34112
Contact: (239) 252-8848
www.colliereov.net
www.twitter.com/CollierPI 0
www.facebook.comlCollierGov
March 3, 2010
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
NOTICE OF PUBLIC MEETING
STRATEGIC PLANNING WORKSHOP
BOARD OF COUNTY COMMISSIONERS
COLLIER COUNTY, FLORIDA
THURSDAY, MARCH 11,2010
Notice is hereby given that the Collier County Board of County Commissioners will hold a strategic
planning workshop on Thursday, March 11 at 9 a,m. in the Board of County Commissioners chambers,
located on the third floor of the W. Harmon Turner Building, Collier County Government Center, 3301 E.
Tamiami Trail, Naples.
In regard to the public meeting:
All interested parties are invited to attend, and to register to speak and to submit their objections, if any, in
writing, to the board/committee prior to the meeting if applicable. All registered public speakers will be
limited to three minutes unless permission for additional time is granted by the chairman.
Collier County Ordinance No. 2004-05 requires that all lobbyists shall, before engaging in any lobbying
activities (including, but not limited to, addressing the Board of County Commissioners, an advisory board
or quasi-judicial board), register with the Clerk to the Board at the Board Minutes and Records Department.
If you are a person with a disability who needs any accommodation in order to participate in this proceeding,
you are entitled, at no cost to you, to the provision of certain assistance. Please contact the Collier County
Facilities Management Department, located at 3301 E. Tamiami Trail, Naples, FL 34112, (239) 252-8380, at
least two days prior to the meeting. Assisted listening devices for the hearing impaired are available in the
Board of County Commissioners Office.
For more information, call the County Manager's Office at (239) 252-8383.
-End-
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Collier County
with 1,8% of Florida's population
Florida's 15th most populous county
,.....
,MartiOltland
....-
Population
Population
(Census, Estimates, & ProJections)
1980 Census
1990 Census
2000 Census
% change 1990-00
2009 Estimate
% change 2000-09
% of change 2000-09 due to net migration
2010 Projection (based on 2008 estimate)
% change 2008-10
2015 Projection (based on 2008 estimate)
% change 2010-15
% of 2008 population
Under 18 years 01 age
Over 64 years of age
Median age (2008)
Persons per square mile (2009)
Collier County
85,971
152,099
251,377
65.3%
333,032
325%
85,9%
331,811
-0.3%
363,262
9.5%
20.4%
236%
452
Households and Family Households
164
Households
Total households, 2000 Census
Total households, 2008
% change 2000-08
Family households, 2000 Census
% with own children under 18
ColllerCounty
102,973
136,625
327%
71,264
32.8%
Florida
9,746,961
12,938,071
15,982,824
23.5%
18,750,483
17.3%
831%
18,881,443
0.4%
20,055,865
6.2%
22.3%
17.3%
40.1
Florida
6,338,075
7,499,799
183%
4,210,760
423%
According to Census dellnitlons, a household includes aU olthe pe ople who occupy a hou,lng unit. rhe
occupant; mav be a ,iogl" family, eoe person iiving alone, twe or mere lamilies living tog"thll', or any ether
group oi related or unrelated people who share living qua"e". Afamilyinclude'ahouleholderando"eo,
mO,e ether people living in thesamehou,eholdwhe are ,el.ted to thehou,eholderbyblrth,marriage,or
adoption
Existing Single-Family Home Sales
Percent Change in Homes Sold
2001-02
2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
Percent Change in Median Sates Price
2001-02
2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
Collier County
19.9%
11.7%
16.0%
3.7%
-409%
.10.7%
265%
NA
11.9%
12.7%
284%
298%
0.0%
-1.3%
-4.0%
NA
Florida
9.9%
13.1%
10.7%
2.5%
-27.6%
-29.2%
4.3%
314%
8.8%
11.8%
17.1%
292%
5.6%
5.5%
-19.8%
-24.0%
Note: Home sale, data are calculated lor Metropolitan Slatistical Area. (MSAs) Data ,hown I,ere reflett the
valuefortheMSAinwhlchthecountyislocated
348
Housing
Housing Counts Collier County Florida
Housing units, 2000 Census 144,536 7,302,947
Occupied 102,973 6,337,929
Owner-occupied 77,825 4,441,799
% owner-occupied 756% 70.1%
Renter-occupied 25,148 1,896,130
% renter-occupied 24.4% 29.9%
Vacant 41,563 965,018
% vacant 28.8% 13.2%
Units Permitted Collier County Florida
2000 8,263 161,076
2001 7,580 169,171
% change 2000-01 -8.3% 5.0%
2002 6,260 186,503
% change 2001-02 -174% 10.2%
2003 6,345 215,488
% change 2002-03 14% 15.5%
2004 6,336 254,026
% change 2003-04 -0.1% 179%
2005 6,033 284,120
% change 2004-05 -48% 11.8%
2006 5,993 219,087
% change 2005-06 -0.7% -22.9%
2007 3,871 122,300
% change 2006-07 -354% -442%
2008 599 59,487
% change 2007-08 -84.5% -51.4%
rotal Units Permilled 2000-2008 51,280 1,671,258
State Infrastructure
Transportation Collier County Florida
State Highway
Centerline Miles 206.1 12,093.1
Lane Miles 651.3 42,5418
State Bridges
Number 216 6,549
State FacUlties ColHerCounty Florida
Buildings/Facilities
Number 16 3,953
Square Footage 250,724 56,956,904
State Lands Collier County Florida
Conservation Lands
Parcels 20,663 37,323
Acreage 219,832.3 3,360,212.8
Non-Conservation Lands
Parcels 601 6,062
Acreage 29,120.3 254,398.2
Collier County
Employment by Industry
Average Annual Wage,
2008
All industries
Natural Resource & Mining
Construction
Manufacturing
Trade, Transportation and Utilities
Information
Financial Aclivilies
Professlona! & Business Services
Education & Health Services
Leisure and Hospitality
Other services
Government
Average Annual Employment,
% by Category, 2008
Collier County
Florida
Natural Resource & Mining
Construction
Manufacturing
Trade, Transportation and Utilities
Information
Financial Activilies
Professional & Business Services
Education & Health Services
leisure and Hospitality
Other services
GOl/ernment
4.5%
112%
2.3%
18,1%
1.4%
5.6%
11.3%
129%
18.0%
4.1%
105%
1.2%
6.]%
4.8%
20.5%
2.0%
6.8%
14.9%
13.2%
12.3%
3.3%
141%
Labor Force
labor Force as Percent of Population Aged
18 and Older
1990
2000
2009 preliminary
Collier County
59.8%
58.9%
55.8%
Florida
644%
63.4%
628%
Financial Health
Poverty Collier County Florida
% living below poverty, 2008 10,2% 13.3%
% ages 0-17 living below poverty, 2008 17.5% 18.4%
Personal Income ($OOOs) Collier County Florida
2000 $10,011,970 $457,539,355
2001 $11,061,849 $478,637,023
% change 2000-01 105% 4.6%
2002 $11,607,197 $495.489,345
% change 2001-02 4.9% 3.5%
2003 $12,288,703 $514,377,645
% change 2002-03 5.9% 3.8%
2004 $14,843.435 $565,680,690
% change 2003-04 20.8% 10.0%
2005 $16,455,380 $614.432,959
% change 2004-05 10.9% 8.6%
2006 $18,663.470 $668.483,640
% change 2005--06 13.4% 8.8%
2007 $19,846,737 $699.176.462
% change 2006-07 6.3% 4.6%
Per Capita Personal Income Collier County Florida
2000 $39.412 $28,512
2001 $41,886 $29,291
% change 2000-01 63% 2.7%
2002 $42,203 $29,754
% change 2001-02 0.8% 1.6%
2003 $43,216 $30,369
% change 2002-03 2.4% 2.1%
2004 $50,380 $32,672
% change 2003-04 16.6% 7.6%
2005 $53,867 $34,709
% change 2004-05 6.9% 6.2%
2006 $59,895 $37,099
% change 2005-06 11.2% 6.9%
2007 $63,276 $38.417
% change 2006-07 5.6% 3.6%
Personal Bankruptcy FlIlng Rate
(per 1 ,000 population) Collier County Florida
2000 2.56 4.45
2007 267 3.48
State Rank 30 NA
Note: Florid~ numbers exclude Mi~mi-D~de County
Unemployment Rate
1990
2000
2009 preliminary
Collier County
$40,186
$19,300
$44,515
$44,816
$34,431
$61,863
$65,725
$45,689
$48,824
$26,396
$29,784
$47,838
Collier County
5.6%
3.7%
111%
Earnings by Place of Work
Earnings ($OOOS)
2000
2001
% change 2000-01
2002
% change 2001-02
2003
% change 2002-03
2004
% change 2003-04
2005
% change 2004-05
2006
% change 2005-06
2007
% change 2006-07
Collier County
$4,766,497
$5,170,197
6.0%
$5,364,248
3.8%
$6,006,228
12.0%
$6,646,788
10.7%
$7.424,932
11.7%
$7,905,014
6.5%
$8,029,708
1.6%
Quality of Life
Educational attainment
Persons aged 25 and older
% HS graduate or higher
% bachelor's degree or higher
Crime
Crime rate, 2008 (index crimes per
100,000 population)
Admissions to prison FY 2007-08
Admissions to prison per 100.000
population FY 2007-08
Collier County
81.8%
27.9%
Collier County
2,210.3
458
State and Local Taxation
137.6
2008 Ad Valorem Millage Rates
County
SdlOOI
Other
Total
Collier County
3.4628
4.9090
2.3094
10.6812
Page 2
Florida
$40,579
$23,981
$42,040
$48,652
$36,220
$58,194
$55,748
$46,997
$42,245
$21,200
$28,565
$46.424
Florida
6.3%
3.8%
10.5%
Florida
$303,505,288
$315,309,617
3.9%
$328,703,245
4.2%
$346,315,563
5.4%
$375,315,589
8.4%
$408,543,649
8.9%
$436,311,039
68%
$447,432,985
2.5%
Florida
79.9%
22.3%
Florida
4,699.8
41,054
218.3
Pr.p....dby'
Flo,ida Legislatur~
Off,ce 01 Economic and O..mog,aphi" R......'oh
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Southwest Florida
Regional Economic
Indicators
February 2010
o
FtOI{II\\
(;lIJCO\<,I
L ';I\'1I;'-.:n
Lutgert College Of Business
Phone 239-590-7319
FIQrlda Gulf Coast University
10501 FGCU 81vd, 50uth
Ftlrt M ers, FL 33965
Regional Economic Research Institute
Table of Contents
Introduction................ .....................................,.............
.............................. 3
~~rtA~~,............,..".,..,"",...,............,'"""",.",......,..""""",,6
Chart 1: Regional Airport Arrivals and Departures ................................................................................... 6
Chart 2: RSW Traffic Trend.............................................,.......,.......,............,...,...,..,........................,.....,.., 7
Chart 3: Sarasota Airport Traffic Trend .....................,.............,................................,..............................., 7
Chart 4: Charlotte County Airport Traffic Trend .........'............................................................................. 8
Tourism Tax Revenues. ...,...............,...,...................................,...,......, ......................................................... 8
Chart 5: Lee County Tourism Tax Revenues ......,...................................................................................... 9
Chart 6: Collier County Tourism Tax Revenues........................................................................................, 9
Chart 7: Charlotte County Tourism Tax Revenues..,............................................................................... 10
Single-Family Build ing Permits.................................................. ...,..........,. ...,..,...,...................................... 10
Chart 8: Lee County...........................,. ..........,.........,.............................,................................................. 11
Chart 9: Collier County,..... ...............,...,..............................,............................,........................,............. 11
Chart 10: Charlotte County ...........................................................................,........................................, 12
Taxable Sales,.."...,. "...... .... .... ... .......... .... .... .... .... ".,.. '" ."" '" ,."., "". ". ".,.. ,....., .... .... ... ...,. ." ",..." ,. ",. ".. ".. ... 12
Chart 11: Taxable Sales by County.........................................................................................................,13
Chart 12: Lee County Taxable Sales - Change from a Year Earlier.......................................................... 13
Chart 13: Collier County Taxable Sales - Change from a Year Earlier ....................................,................14
Chart 14: Charlotte County Taxable Sales - Change from a Year Earlier ................................................14
Workforce - Unemployment................................... .... ............ ...,...............,..............,........,.......,.............. 15
Chart 15: Regional Unemployment..................................... .........................................,.....,...,..............15
Chart 16: Coastal County Unemployment .............................................................................................16
Chart 17: Inland County Unemployment ...............................................................................................16
Sales of Single-Family Existing Homes and Median Sales Price ..........................................,......................17
Chart 18: Lee County...,......,.............. ...,...,........,...,.....'.,.....,...,...,........................................ .... ....,...,...,., 17
Chart 19: Collier County................ ....................... ....................,...,.......,.................................................. 18
Chart 20: Charlotte County ..,...,..,........,................,..................................................................,........,...., 18
Consumer Price Index ..,....................................,..........................,...,.......,............,...,.......,........ ................. 19
Chart 21: CPI Annual Percentage Change ..............................................................................................19
Chart 22: Miami-Fort Lauderdale CPI Component Percentage Change ............................................... 20
Population. ",. '" ,.,. ",. ",.." ,. ",.,., ",. ",. ,.". ,., "".. ",. .", ",..".,. ,.,. .". ."..".. .,.. ..,. ,.,. ,., ..... ... ......... .... .... .... ..,...,.. ,.,.. 20
Chart 23: Coastal Counties Growth 1990 to 2009 ................................................................................. 21
Chart 24: Inland County Growth 1990 to 2009................................,..................................,................... 21
Chart 25: Projections by County ....................................................................................,...........,........,., 22
Contact Information:
Dr. Gary Jackson, Director, Regional Economic Research Institute
Phone: 239-590-7319 Email: giackson(iilfgcu.edu
Mr. Steven Scheff, Business Analyst, Regional Economic Research Institute
Phone: 239-590-7315 Email: sscheff(iilfgcu,edu
Mr. Jim Breitbach, Technical Support
Phone: 239-590-7489 Email: jbreitba@fgcu,edu
2
Introduction
The Conference Board released its February consumer confidence index on February 23, 2010, showing
that the index fell to 46.0 frorn 56,5 in January. The consurner confidence index is based on a survey of
households and the decrease reflects concerns about current economic conditions and job market.
The Federal Reserve system has begun pulling back and ending some of various facilities that were set
up to assist financial markets including those for commercial paper, primary dealer credit and term
securities lending, and term auction in light of the improving functioning of financial markets. In
addition, the Federal Reserve System increased the discount rate by 25 basis points to 0,75 percent.
The Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee (FOMC) issued a press release on January 27th, noting
that:
. Economic activity has continued to strengthen and the deterioration in the labor market is
abating;
. Household spending is expanding at a moderate rate, but remains constrained by a weak labor
market, modest income growth, lower housing wealth, and tight credit;
. Business spending on equipment and software appears to be picking up, but employers remain
reluctant to add to payrolls;
. Progress is being made in bringing inventory stocks into better alignment with sales;
. While bank lending continues to contract, financial market conditions have become more
supportive of economic growth;
. Although the pace of economic recovery is likely to be moderate for a time, the Committee
anticipates a gradual return to higher levels of resource utilization in the context of price
stability;
. With substantial resource slack likely to continue to dampen cost pressures and with longer-
term inflation expectations stable, the Committee expects that inflation will remain subdued for
some time; and
. The Committee will maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to Y. percent for an
extended period; continue to purchase a total of $1.25 trillion of agency mortgage-backed
securities and about $175 billion of agency debt; and will gradually slow the pace of its
purchases in order to promote a smooth transition in markets.
The next meeting of the Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee is planned for March 16, 2010,
The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee's latest economic forecasts were released on February
17th and are shown in the following "box and whiskers" charts. The red boxes are the central tendency
forecast and the full range of uncertainty is reflected in the whiskers, or vertical lines.
The chart below shows a projected recovery starting in 2010, but it will be several years before the
economy returns to a more normal long-run trend ("LR"). Real GDP growth projections for 2010, 2011,
and 2012 show a recovery but there remains considerable uncertainty as to how strong the recovery
will be, as shown by the wide range of forecasts. For 2010, the range is 2,3 to 4,0 percent growth in
GDP with a central tendency range (red bar) of 2.8 to 3.5 percent. For 2011, the projected Real GDP
growth range is 2,7 to 4,7 percent with a central tendency of 3.4 to 4.5 percent. For 2012, the overall
projected range is 3,0 to 5.0 percent with a central tendency range of 3.5 to 4.5 percent growth. The
long-run (LR) trend for Real GDP has a range of 2.4 to 3.0 percent growth with a central tendency of 2.5
3
to 2,8 percent. The real GDP growth rates are based on the change from the fourth quarter of one year
to the fourth quarter of next year,
Growth of Real GDP
6,0
5.0
5.0
3.7
4.0
3.0 2.7
- 2,0
C
Gl
U 1,0
..
Gl
a. 0.0
-1.0
-2.0
-3.0
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 LR
Source: Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, January 26-27,2010.
As shown in the chart below, unemployment in 2010 is expected to be slightly lower, but will remain
historically high, in a range of 8,6 to 10,0 percent, with a central tendency (red bar) of 9.5 to 9,7 percent.
For 2011, the unemployment rate is expected to be lower and in a range of 7.2 to 8.8 percent with a
central tendency of 8.2 to 8.5 percent. In 2012, the national unemployment range is forecast to be
between 6.1 and 7.6 percent with a central tendency of 6.6 to 7.5 percent. The long-run (LR)
unemployment is expected to be in a range of 4.9 to 6.3 percent with a central tendency of 5.0 to 5.2
percent, The projections for unemployment are for the fourth quarter of each year.
4
11.0 U nem ployment Rate
10.0 10.0
10.0
9.0
- 8.0
c
..
u 7.0
..
..
l1.
6,0
5.0
4,0
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 LR
Year
Source: Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, November 3-4, 2009.
Although there are some signs of improvement, our regional economic indicator charts continue to
show the impact of the slowdown in the local economy in the form of low retail sales, high
unemployment rates, low permitting levels, and iow inflation rates. Unemployment in the region eased
to 13,1 percent in December from 13.4 percent in November, As in November, passenger traffic at
Regional Southwest Airport (RSW) in December 2009 saw a significant increase over the prior month,
albeit a small decline from the previous December. December Tourist Tax revenues for the coastal
counties of Charlotte, Collier and Lee were down 1 percent from a year earlier.
The Regional Economic Research Institute (RERI) is continuing to develop the regional economic
database, and this report, as a way to support its mission and assist the region, Starting with this issue,
most charts have been reformatted to enhance their clarity and readability. Some older data have been
dropped, and some trend iines added, The Institute continues to welcome suggestions from our
readers, and would like to emphasize our appreciation of, and thanks to, our many partners for
assistance in obtaining the data, We are grateful to all of you, including the Southwest Florida Regional
Planning Council, the Economic Development Organizations of Charlotte, Collier, and Lee Counties, the
regional airport authorities, and the county and city permit offices.
5
Airport Activity
Airport passenger activity is defined as the sum of arrivals and departures for Regional Southwest
Florida and Sarasota airports and is shown in Chart 1. Peak seasonal activity occurs in February, March
and April, with significantly lower activity in the summer months. Charts 2 and 3 illustrate the monthly
seasonality of airport passenger traffic and the changes from year to year.
Regional Southwest Florida (RSW) airport is largest airport in the region, serving national and
international destinations. Charts 1 and 2 show reported RSW airport passenger activity of 676,078 in
December 2009, which is 13 percent higher than the November 2009 levei and 2 percent below
December 2008. Sarasota (SRQ) passenger activity rose to 114,4S1 in December 2009, an increase of 6
percent above the prior month figure and 1 percent lower than a year ago, as shown in Charts 1 and 3,
Chariotte County resumed commercial passenger service in early 2009, and recorded passenger activity
of 19,341 in December, a gain of 44 percent over November, as shown in Chart 4.
Chart 1: Regional Airport Arrivals and Departures
Airport P.....nger Arrlv.ls plus Departures
. 1200
."
c
.
.
,
.
" 1000
l-
.
~ 600
,
1::
l!.
I!!
+ 600
!II.
,~
~
400
200
.
---- RSW (SWFL Int'l)
----SRQ (Sarasota)
"-...
...-"
----.
.
.
.
.
t
.
.
o
~ ~n ~b ~r Apr ~ Jun Jul A~ ~p ~t ~ ~
2008 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009
Source: Local Airport Authorities
6
~ 1000
c
.
.
,
o
~
>-
e 800
,
"
.
i-
c
.
,
Q.
.
~
'E
..
Chart 2: RSW Traffic Trend
1200
RSW (SW Florida InlBrnational) Airport Passenger Traffic Trend
600
400
200
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dee
Source: Local Airport Authorities
on
."
c:
III 200
~
o
'"
....
o 175
on
e
~
'5 150
Q.
~
In 125
~
Q.
on
~ 100
'E
...
75
250
Chart 3: Sarasota Airport Traffic Trend
SRQ (Sarasota) Airport Pa_nger Traffic Trend
225
~ 2000
--0-- 2008
-0--- 2009
50
Jan Feb Mar Apr flay Jun
Jul Aug Sap Oct t-bv Dee
Source: Local Airport Authorities
7
Chart 4: Charlotte County Airport Traffic Trend
PGD (Charlotte County Airport) pa_nger Arrivals plus Departures
25
.fl20
~
~
~
~
, 15
~
e
~
t
[
.3 10
!
15.
J/l
~
';:: 5
.:(
o
~n ~b ~r Apr _ Jun ~I Aug ~p ~t ~ ~
2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 20C9 2009 2009 2009
Source Local Airport Authorities
Tourism Tax Revenues
Touri5m tax revenue5 for the region are 5hown in Chart5 5, 6, and 7, and are based on month of
occupancy, While total regional revenue5 showed a seasonal increase of 46 percent from November to
December 2009, overall tourism tax revenues were down 1 percent from December 2008. The changes
from the prior year included a decline of 1 percent for Charlotte County and 6 percent for Collier
County. Lee County revenues were up 2 percent over December 2008,
For calendar year 2009, Charlotte County revenues declined by a total of $43,000 or 3 percent from
2008; Collier County saw a decline of $2,290,000, a decrease of 16 percent; and Lee County revenues
were down $1,720,000, or 7 percent, from 2008.
8
Chart 5: Lee County Tourism Tax Revenues
Lee County Monthly Tourist Tax Revenue 2007 .2009
6000
5000
~ --2007
~ 4000 .-- 2008
~
~ --0- 2009
.. 3000
,
~
c
~
.l! 2000
K
{!
1000
o
~n ~ ~r Apr ~y ~n Jul Aug ~p ~I ~ ~
Month of Occupancy
Source: Local County Tourism, Tax, and Economic Development Reports
Chart 6: Collier County Tourism Tax Revenues
Collier County Monthly Tourist Tax Revenue 2007 .2009
3000
2500
.(j -11-2007
c
~ 2000
~ ----- 2008
--0-2009
..
, 1500
~
c
~
~
a: 1000
K
{!
500
o
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nav Dee
Month of Occupancy
Source: Local County Tourism, Tax, and Economic Development Reports
9
Chart 7: Charlotte County Tourism Tax Revenues
Charlotl& County Monthly Tourist Tax Revenue 2007 - 2009
350
300
~ 250 --- 2007
~ -- 2008
~
& 200 -0- 2009
...
,
! 150
~
~
>
~
0:
~ 100
{!.
50
o
Jan F~ Mar ~r M~ Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov ~
Month of Occupancy
Source: Local County Tourism, Tax, and Economic Development Reports
Single-Family Building Permits
Total single-family home permits continued at historically low levels for the region as a result of the
economy's recession and the impact of many existing homes selling below replacement cost. Lee
County issued 71 single-family home permits in January 2010, up from 55 in December 2009 and from
30 in January 2009, as shown in Chart 8. Single-family permits for Collier County decreased from 84 in
December 2009 to 68 in January 2010, as shown in Chart 9; the corresponding figure for January 2009
was 35, Charlotte County issued 36 permits in January 2010, down from 71 in December and from 38 in
the prior January (see Chart 10). A 12-month moving average trend line for the current year has been
added to each chart,
10
Chart 8: Lee County
Single Family Permits Issued - Lee County
2002-09 Monthly Averagea; Moat Recent 13 Montha Data and Trend
1600
1400
1200
"ll'000
,
~ ----- Permits
II BOO
.~ - - -Trend
.
"- 600
400
o
~a.:'~..- _ ._.._
200
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Av Av Av Av Av Av Av Av
Jan Feb Mar Apr Ma~ Jun Jul Aug Sap Oct Nov Dee Jan
2009200920092009200920092009200920092009200920092010
Source: Local Building and Zoning Departments. including Fort Myers, Cape Coral, and Unincorporated Lee County, Bonita Springs
and Fort Myers Beach permits.
Chart 9: Collier County
Single Family Permits Issued - Collier County
2002.2009 Monthly Averages; Most Recent 13 Months Data and Trend
350
300
250
"ll
;J 200
.!I!
.
..
~ 150
.
"-
100
50
---+--- Permits
- - -Trend
0
~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ > ~ '" '" '" '" '" '" '" '" '" '" '" '" ~
<( 0 8 ~ 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
N M g ~ is "- 00 :?! N N N N N N N N N N N N
0 0 0 0 0 0 ~ :, ~ 0 '" & u > ~ 0
0 0 0 0 0 l'l 0 0 ;{ ~
N N N N N N N rn . !1 , , 0 0 rn
~ ~ ::E ~ <( z " ~
Source: Local Building and Zoning Departments, includes unincorporated Collier County permits only
11
Chart 10: Charlotte County
Single Family Permits Issued. Charlotte County
2002-2009 Monthly Averages; Most Rscsnt 13 Months Data and Trend
300
250
--- Permits
- - - Trend
~ 200
.~
~
~ 150
&
D
E
,
z 100
50
......... - -1t'----
0
ii ii ii ii ii ii ii ii m m m m m 8 m m m m m '" a
0 8 8 a 8 a [5 a [5 8 ~ "
N M 8 ~ 8 ~ 8 8 a a a a 0
a 8 8 8 N N N N N N N N N N N N
a a c 1l ~ ~ ~ c "5 co 0- U > ~ C
N N N N N N N N ~ :!1 0 , ~ ell 0 0 .
, "- , Z Cl ,
Source: Local Building and Zoning Departments, includes unincorporated Charlotte County permits only.
Taxable Sales
Taxable sales figures are used to track consumer spending, an important component of the regional
economy. Chart 11 provides a historical range of average monthly taxable sales from 2002 through
December 2009. The taxable sales charts show month of collection by the merchant rather than the
reporting month issued by the Florida Department of Revenue. Thus, December is the latest collection
month plotted on the following charts. Note that Chart 11 uses different scales for the Coastal counties
(Charlotte, Collier, and lee) and the Inland counties (Glades and Hendry) for ease of visibility,
December data generally showed the first year-to-year comparative increases in several years. Taxable
sales for the five-county region increased by $25 million, or 2 percent, from December 2008 to
December 2009. The seasonal increase for the region from the prior month of November 2009 was
$279 million or 20 percent.
12
1,200
Chart 11: Taxable Sales by County
Monthly Taxable Sales 2002 to Present
2002-2009 Monthly Averages; Most Recent 12 Months' Data
40
1/11,000
c
.2
i 800
___Charlotte -+-Collier
~8
o .0 -0 $ .'.. 0, .~
-.e- Lee
. Glades
~
..J
-: 600
:!
"6
u
_ 400
~
'\:
! 200
U
.---------------- .
. .0 Goo 0 0
.
e
.
.
35
900
A4 30 '"
c
,2
25 =:
;2
553 20 ~
'"
15 ~
Sl
10 ~
Ci
5
c e e
0
o
g g g g ~ g 8 8
N N N N N N N N
9 ~ m m m m m m m m ~ m
~ ~ ~ ! ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ t > ~
~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ' ~ ~ 0 ~ ~
Source Florida Department of Tal( Research
Chart 12: Lee County Taxable Sales - Chan e from a Year Earlier
Lee County Taxable Sales: Change from Year Earlier
5%
0%
.5%
.10%
~15%
-20%
.25%
~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ 9 ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ 9 g: m m m m 9 m m m m m
9 0 9 9 9 9 9 0 0 9 ~ ";' 9 9 9 9 9 9 0 0
c .6 :. ~ il' c " rn i. .l. > c ~ ~ ~ c " m ~ U > ~
-"l . , 'I Jl u 0 . . . , 'I Jl 0
u. " " . . 0 Z . U. " " . . 0 Z 0
Source: Florida Department of Tal( Research
13
Chart 13: Collier County Taxable Sales. Chan e from a Year Earlier
Collier County Taxable Sales: Change from Year Earlier
5%
~
-
'" "
0%
-5%
-10%
-15%
-20%
-25%
~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ 9 m m m m 1'l m rn m rn m m
0 0 '7 '7 '7 0 '7 '7 0 '7 0 ~ 0 '7 '7 '7 '7 1 0 0 '7 0
C " C 0. > " C 0. .c ~
" ~ ~ ~ rn U c ~ ~ ~ " u >
ro . '" ro 0 ii IJl 0 0 ro . ro 0 . IJl 0 0
. ~ '" . z . ~ '" . Z
Source: Florida Department of Tax Research
Chart 14: Charlotte County Taxable Sales. Change from a Year Earlier
Charlotte County Taxable Sales: Change from Year Earlier
10%
5%
0%
.5%
-10%
-15%
-20%
~25%
14
Workforce - Unemployment
January unemployment data for the five counties will not be available before this report is published.
The most current rates for the region are shown below in Chart 15. Longer term results are shown in
Charts 16 and 17. Florida's unemployment rate was previously reported as 11.6 percent in December
2009, while the national unemployment rate was 9.7 percent, The unemployment rates tracked in this
report are not seasonally adjusted.
Unemployment rates for all five counties have been running two to four percentage points higher than
the corresponding period a year earlier as shown in Charts 16 and 17, Unemployment rates above 5 or
6 percent reflect cyclical unempioyment and a slowdown of the economy from long-run trends,
Chart 15: Re ional Unemplo ment
SWFL County Unemployment Rates (%) . Most Recent 13 Months
18.0 -"---"-"""-"-"~-"-'~--~~--'-".."'---'-'--'"'---.------ ".,
160
140
12.0
10.0 _
".'- &
.
6,0
$
0'
"
60
----Charlotte --+-Collier 0 Glades --'-Hendry ---Lee
40
20
DocOBJanOOF~OO~r09~r09_00JunOOJuIOOAugOO_090ctOONov09~W
Source; AWl
15
Chart 16: Coastal County Unemployment
SWFL Coastal County Unemployment Rates ('Yo)
2002-2009 Monthly Averagee; Moot Recent 13 Montho Oota
16.0
14,0
12.0
10,0
8,0
"".-"- Charlotte
6,0
---+---Collier
4,0
-........- Lee
20
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Doo Joe Feb Mar Apr May Jun JoI A'g Sop 00\ No~ Dee
08 09 09 09 09 09 09 09 09 09 09 09 09
Source AWl
Chart 17: Inland County Unemployment
SWFL Inland County Unemployment Rates ('Yo)
2002-2009 Monthly Averoseo; Moot Recent 13 Montho Data
18.0
16.0
".., Glades
14.0 -+-Hendry
120
0 I
,
10.0 ,
" 1
. 01
0 ,
80 " . 1
0
6,0 ,0
0 0
0 ,0
40
2,0
20022003200420052006 2007 2008 2009 Doo Joe Fob M" Ap' M', Jun Jul09 Aug Sop Dol No< D"
08 09 09 09 09 09 09 09 09 09 09 09
Source AWl
16
Sales of Single-Family Existing Homes and Median Sales Price
Data on January sales of existing single-family homes sold by REALTORS were not available as we went
to publication, Information through December 2009 is shown in Charts 18, 19, and 20. As we reported
last month, Charlotte, Collier, and Lee Counties showed full-year increases from 2008 to 2009. Lee
County sales nearly doubled, increasing from 8,272 in 2008 to 16,260 in 2009. Collier County sales rose
to 3,603 from 2,472, a 46 percent increase over 2008. Charlotte County reported an 18 percent increase
in existing single-family home sales from 2,530 to 2,988.
I!! 1200
S
11000
0::
...
,g 800
"
o
en 600
!l
E 400
o
:I:
1800
Chart 18: Lee County
Lee County Existing Single Family Home Sales by Realtors
$250
$200
..
"
c
ill
::l
$150,g
....
,
..
"
$100~
..
'ii
<II
c
$50 ra
'2
::IE
$0
Source: Florida Association of Realtors GO Fort Myers - Cape Coral MSA htto://media.living.net/statistics/statisticsfull.html
1600
\~"yA
~
1400
200
-Lee Homes Sold by Realtors
-<'- Lee Mad ian Sale Price
~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ 8 ~ 00 00 ~ 00 ~ 8 m ~ m m m m 8 m ~ 8
0 0 8 0 8 8 8 ~ 0 ~ ~ 8 8 ~ 8 ~
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N
c .0 . ~ ~ c .. ~ Q. U > ~ c 11 :. ' i\" c ." ~ Q. U > ~
. . . ~ <ll 0 . 0 <ll 0
~ u. " " ~ 'l 0 z c ~ u. " it " ~ ~ 0 z c
o
17
Chart 19: Collier County
Collier County Existing Single Family Home Sales by Realtors
450 $450
400 ~~ $400
350 $350 VI
\~ "
c
I!! 300 $300 \11
S ~
0
1i .J::
~ 250 $250 I-
~ B
"0200 $200 'C
0 ..
III ~
1'50 $150 1i
III
E c
i 100 $100 ~
_Collier Homes Sold by Realtors il
50 --<"-Collier Median Sale Price 2
$50
0 $0
ro ro ro ro ro ro ro '" ro ro ro '" m m m m m m m m m m m m
0 0 15 0 0 15 0 0 0 15 0 0 0 0 15 15 0 0 15 15 0 15 15 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 " 0 0 0 0 0
N N N N N N N N N ~ N N N N N N N N N N N N N
C <> . ~ ~ c "3 1 ~ u > ~ c ~ . ~ ~ c "3 go ~ u > ~
. . " . 0 ~ 0 0 . " . 0 ~ 0 0
~ u. " ~ z ~ u. " ~ '" z 0
Source: Naples Area Board of Realtors" (NABOR) www.nalJlesarea.com
Chart 20: Charlotte County
Charlotte County Existing Single Family Home Sales by Realtors
350
50
_Chartolte Homes Sold by Realtors
---<'---Charlotte Median Sale Price
$160
$160
$140 Ul
"
c
$120 ~
0
.J::
$100 I-
,
$80 B
'C
..
~
$80 1i
III
C
$40 ~
il
$20 :IE
$0
300
~
I!! 250
S
1i
~ 200
~
" 150
o
III
1'00
8
::r:
\,
0
ro ro ro ro ro ro 8 8 ro ro ro ro m m m m 8 m g; VI VI m g; m
0 0 15 15 15 0 0 0 0 ~ 0 0 15 0 8 ~ 0 0 8
0 0 0 0 0 " 0 0 " 0 0 " 0
N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N
C <> ~ ~ ~ c "3 1 :c u > ~ C D ~ ~ i c "3 1 ~ u > ~
. . . -'l ~ 0 0 . . 0 ~ 0 0
~ u. " '" z 0 ~ u. ~ Z 0
Source: Florida Association of Realtors @ Punta Garda, Florida MSA
hUo: I /med i a.1 ivi na , neVs latistics/stajis ticsfull , him I
18
Consumer Price Index
The consumer price indices (CPI) for the nation, the region, and the Miami-Fort Lauderdale area are
shown in Chart 21. The Miami-Fort Lauderdale area CPI is collected every two months and is the closest
reporting location to Southwest Florida. Compared to December 2008, the national and South regional
CPi values increased 2.7 and 2.9 percent respectively, while the increase for the Miami-Ft. Lauderdale
area was 2.1 percent.
Chart 21: CPI Annual Percentage Change
Consumer Price Index Monthly Data . Change From Year Earlier
7.0%
6.0%
-+-Miami I Ft. Lauderdale
---- US South Region
-+- US Natio nal
~5.0%
,ll
-
:4.0%
>-
~3.0%
.::
~2.0%
.l!
01.0%
0.0%
-1.0%
-2.0%
Dee-DO Dec-01 Dec-02 Dee-03 Dec-04 Dee-05 Dee-DB Dee-a7 Dee-DB Dec-09
Source: BLS
The overall Miami-Fort Lauderdale Consumer Price Index for the 12 months ending December 2009 can
be broken down into the components contributing to the price changes, as shown in Chart 22.
19
Chart 22: Miami-Fort Lauderdale CPI Component Percentage Change
Miami. Fort Lauderdale CPI ComponenbJ
12 month change ending December 2009
OtherG odSBndS.rvlc..-
Recreation
. Other goods and services:
Tobacco and smoking
products, personal care
products and services, and
miscellaneous personal goods.
-
I
i
I
I
I
I
I
I
,
i
i
f-.-'~'--'--"'-'-'----~
,
Education
~10%
.5%
0% 5%
12 Month Percentage Change
10%
15%
Source: BLS
The costs of transportation, other goods and services, medical care, and education/communication have
shown the largest increases from the prior year. The year-to-year increase in transportation costs was
driven by a 52 percent increase in motor fuel costs.
Population
The length and severity of the current global recession has slowed regional and state population growth.
The February 2009 forecasts of the Florida Demographic Estimating Conference ("FDEC") are included in
this report, Population growth from 1990 to 2009 is shown in Charts 23 and 24. Collier County grew at
an average annual compound growth rate of 4.2 percent from 1990 to 2009. Lee County's population
grew at an annual rate of 3.3 percent. Charlotte, Glades, and Hendry Counties had average annual rates
of population growth between 2.1 and 2.6 percent per year,
Chart 25 and its accompanying table show projected population increases from 2010 to 2030, The
overall rate of regional growth averages 2 percent per year for this period, resulting in a 20-year
increase of 46 percent.
20
Chart 23: Coastal Counties Growth 1990 to 2009
Historic Population Growth
Charlotte, Collier, and Lee Counties
700
600
.
. .
fIl500
'"
C
..
..
5400
.c
...
c
0300
'"
..
3
Q.
Ef 200
IColllerl
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Source: Florida EDR: August 2009
. . .
100
Charlotte
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 '996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Source: Florida EDR: August 2009
o
Chart 24: Inland County Growth 1990 to 2009
Historic Population Growth
Glades and Hendry Counties
45
40
35
IHendryl
.
"l! 30
.
.
,
.,g 25
I-
c
.g 20
.!ll
,
Q.
If 15
IGlades I
10
5
o
21
1,800
1,600
~ 1,400
."
C
.. 1,200
~
"
0 1,000
f
c 800
~ 600
:;
a.
0 400
"-
200
0
II Glades
. Hendry
. Charlotte
. Collier
_Lee
<:~?.!t~.s,=. !,roi~(;tio~n~ by County
2010 2015 2020 2025
11,633 12,063 12,552 13,030
42,666 45,732 49,241 52,724
167,598 179,177 192,213 204,904
331,811 363,262 400,684 437,351
622,940 701,018 789,598 875,676
2030
13,487
56,102
216,958
471,989
957,111
Source: Florida EDR: August 2009.
22
--I
!
!
,
I
I
I
,
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
COLLIER COUNTY RESIDENTIAL SALES. MEDIAN SALES PRICE
2000 . 2009
,--
i
,
--------1
I
I
1-----
^'.-..,,'"
.... ---.+--- ---.
......'-<
./
--~'''4p"~
~-
'--~--'
Jan hb ~ ~ ~ Jun Jut ~g Sep Oct N~ D~
-- 2000 $172,400 $164,950 $175,500 $179,900 $172,450 $189,500 $179,500 $159,500 $162,900 $179,900 $177,200 $169,250
___ ._.._..n' ____..___ .__....___ ________ ____..__ _____ _____..___ _______.__ ____ _____..__ ______.._
-+-2001 $187,808 $177,450 $179,900 $179,900 $189,900 $197,000 $174,9S0 $176,850 $179,450 $179,900 $169,900 $189,900
____ "u,_ __'_'_'_' ____'___ __ _____ ___ _______
-+- 2002 $195,000 $187,000 $201,200 $205,500 $219,900 $214,850 $219,900 $223,900 $194,500 $205,250 $214,900 $214,950
-.- ----- --..--- -_.- ---.-- ----- -----
-+-2003 $219,900 $225,000 $239,900 $229,900 $239,900 $239,9S0 $230,004 $234,900 $229,900 $239,900 $239,000 $239,900
____ ~__ - ...__ 0" __..._.... .__ . '0 _._ .. ,.
-+-2004 $263,240 $259,900 $275,000 $293,500 $289,000 $316,000 $289,900 $319,950 $309,000 $309,000 $319,900 $329,000
"....---.--- .~ --- - ---------- .-_... T _'0
~~~-~~~: :~::;~ ;::::~ :i~; ~~~~~ ~~~::~ :~:::~ :i6;ci6~ ~i~~~ ~:~~ :~~~~ ~~i~~lr~!:~
~:;;: ::;;~ *~~~~ ~~~~:~ :~~::~ :~~~] ~~~::~l:~i; :~~~:~~~L:~~l~~t:~~~~"h~Et~6~?~
MONTHS
$470,000
$460,000
$450,000
$440,000
$430,000
$420,000
$410,000
$400,000
w
()
0:: $390,000
~
z
<C $380,000
C
w
:Ii $370,000
$360,000
$350,000
$340,000
$330,000
$320,000
$310,000
RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY - 2007-09 MEDIAN LISTING PRICE
------- r
--T-
r
I
I
I
I
I
---~----
-~-I
,
--- ---- --------<
,
I
I
I
+-
- -- 1--
I
I
---I
~-+--
-1-n
---r-- -
I
,
---r---
!
$ 75,000
65,000
---~
I
I
I
I
i~
$300,000 -- ------- -- -- - ------ ,
l~i~~~~i~ii~~~,~~it~.
MONTHS
--+----
-'.'~ 2005 684 : 710
,
-=--'=2006~- ~-
=+=2007~~: -+ ~~
~~~~~ ~_~::J::~__ :::
1200
1100
1000
900
tI)
W
..I 800
c(
tI)
u. 700
0
0::
W 600
m
::E
::l 500
z
400
300
200
100
0
2000
-+- 2001
--+-2002
-+- 2003
-----~.._-
-+- 2004
L
COLi-IER COUNTY RESIDENTIAL SALES. NUMBER OF SALES
2000 . 2009
--T
Jan
----.--.- ---..-..-- ---
May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
n'_ .____.___.._._ -- -~_._-------
364 319 245 241 221 231 222 254
" - 264-1
336 378 284 336 246 235 235
M_'_
446 402 365 357 317 348 349 342
~ -- -.-----. --...---.
642 678 654 589 578 576 447 753
915 1019 758 668 581 552 629 711
~ ~ -----...~
913 997 716 711 656 445 549 428
478 451 314 323 323 252 264 223
--------------
409 414 260 280 229 252 225 269
493 434 353 354 346 I 361 364 406
620 612 629 498 J 526 I 5421518 L~
Feb Mar Apr
---1---~--~
222 339 351
-~------_.._._.-
222 346
265 392
469 I 447 538
------t----
220
240
361
490
679
254
509
611
979
1022
966 1058
-----~ --
529 477
371 380
484
560
MONTHS
20000
19000
18000
17000
16000
15000
14000
13000
rn
C)
z
i=
rn
:J
0::
w
lD
:I:
;:)
z
12000
11000
10000
9000
8000
7000
6000
4000
3000
2000
1000
_2007
RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY - 2007-09 NUMBER LISTINGS
i
_I
u_j_
-i-
-----i------
I
- +----
I
---+
,
.
,..-
--1n
----J
,
--1--
Ian
I'eb Mar
r-'---1-"-!----
+
+---i- -------,-
5000 ----- ------- ------ ---,
--+- 200S 10,276
----
___ 2009 10,518
12,136
12,044 12,036
10,600 10,847
I
i
I
L___
MONTHS
Aug Sep
10,544 10,519
10,140 10,064
8,256 __L_~~032
i
I
,
--I
,
---I
i
I
-I
I
----I
i
----I
i
j
--1--1
-- ---- ---- ---..j
.
108
Oct Nov I Dee
10,734 11,230_ 11,343
10,150 1~,~6 10,7~
7,850 . 7,995 8,108
- __ __ __--I