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Agenda 05/13/2009 W BCC STRATEGIC PLANNING WORKSHOP AGENDA MAY 13, 2009 COLLIER COUNTY BOARD OF COUNTY COMMISSIONERS a"~\ 11/1' , ,,"'} ,. , ( '\.....",' J,I".\ AGENDA May 13, 2009 9:00 AM BCC/Strategic Planning Workshop County Commission Boardroom 3rd Floor-W. Harmon Turner Building Donna Fiala, BCC Chairman Commissioner, District 1; CRAB Vice Chairman Fred W. Coyle, BCC Vice- Chairman Commissioner, District 4 Jim Coletta, BCC Commissioner, District 5; CRAB Chairman Frank Halas, BCC Commissioner, District 2 Tom Henning, BCC Commissioner, District 3 NOTICE: ALL PERSONS WISHING TO SPEAK ON ANY AGENDA ITEM MUST REGISTER PRIOR TO SPEAKING. SPEAKERS MUST REGISTER WITH THE COUNTY MANAGER PRIOR TO THE PRESENTATION OF THE AGENDA ITEM TO BE ADDRESSED. ALL REGISTERED SPEAKERS WILL RECEIVE UP TO THREE (3) MINUTES UNLESS THE TIME IS ADJUSTED BY THE CHAIRMAN. COLLIER COUNTY ORDINANCE NO. 2003-53, AS AMENDED BY ORDINANCE 2004-05 AND 2007- 24, REQUIRES THAT ALL LOBBYISTS SHALL, BEFORE ENGAGING IN ANY LOBBYING ACTIVITIES (INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ADDRESSING THE BOARD OF COUNTY COMMISSIONERS), REGISTER WITH THE CLERK TO THE BOARD AT THE BOARD MINUTES AND RECORDS DEPARTMENT. IF YOU ARE A PERSON WITH A DISABILITY WHO NEEDS ANY ACCOMMODATION IN ORDER TO PARTICIPATE IN THIS PROCEEDING, YOU ARE ENTITLED, AT NO COST TO YOU, TO THE PROVISION OF CERTAIN ASSISTANCE. PLEASE CONTACT THE COLLIER COUNTY FACILITIES MANAGEMENT DEPARTMENT LOCATED AT 3301 EAST TAMIAMI TRAIL, NAPLES, FLORIDA, 34112, (239) 252-8380; ASSISTED LISTENING DEVICES FOR THE HEARING IMPAIRED ARE AVAILABLE IN THE COUNTY COMMISSIONERS' OFFICE. 1. Pledge of Allegiance 2. Discussion regarding the Strategic Plan of Collier County 3. Public Comment 4. Adjourn Collier County Government Communication & Customer Relations Department 3301 East Tamiami Trail Naples, FL 34112 Contact: (239) 252-8848 www.colliergov.net April 28, 2009 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE NOTICE OF STRATEGIC PLANNING WORKSHOP BOARD OF COUNTY COMMISSIONERS COLLIER COUNTY, FLORIDA WEDNESDAY, MAY 13, 2009 9 A.M. Notice is hereby given that the Collier County Board of County Commissioners will hold a strategic planning workshop Wednesday, May 13 at 9 a.m. in the Board of County Commissioners chambers, located on the third floor of the W. Harmon Turner Building, Collier County Government Center, 3301 E. Tamiami Trail, Naples. In regard to the public meeting: All interested parties are invited to attend, and to register to speak and to submit their objections, if any, in writing, to the board/committee prior to the meeting if applicable. All registered public speakers will be limited to three minutes unless permission for additional time is granted by the chairman. Collier County Ordinance No. 2004-05, as amended, requires that all lobbyists shall, before engaging in any lobbying activities (including, but not limited to, addressing the Board of County Commissioners, an advisory board or quasi-judicial board), register with the Clerk to the Board at the Board Minutes and Records Department. If you are a person with a disability who needs any accommodation in order to participate in this proceeding, you are entitled, at no cost to you, to the provision of certain assistance. Please contact the Collier County Facilities Management Department, located at 3301 E. Tamiami Trail, Naples, FL 34112, (239) 252-8380, at least two days prior to the meeting. Assisted listening devices for the hearing impaired are available in the Board of County Commissioners Office. For more information, call the County Manager's Office at 252-8383. - End- N ""C C Q) C ro ~ ro C/) C/) c - 0) 0 ro a... 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CountJ' '5.fT1 152.. 2&1.171 .&3'1 332,_ ...... 81".'''' 201. .....- "~2007~10 201!iProjlJCllOrl ~~ 201Q-HI 353._ ..... ..oe.,300 '4,8" 'Il. of 2007 population UnQf 11 yMRotage Ov<< lot yMrt of. ~IM agIt (2001) Person_ per aqua'" mile (200I) 20.3" 23.~ 45.1 '" Household. and Family Householde - 9,7.'."1 12,Nt,Q71 1S,.... 23.'. 18,107,21$ 11:'" '5,'" 11,308.100 3,4~ 20.965,900 8,5% 22.4% 17.1'M. 39.9 .......01... Cal...... Countr PIaridiI Total ~oIdI, 2000 GenIUS 102,173 8,338,011 Tota hou.-holda, 200a 136.82' 7,4i11.7H "~2000-0I 32.N 1'.3" Fan'llyhauMhclIda,2000C~ 11,2&4 4,210.780 ..... CIlIm chikbW! uncMr l' 32..... 42.:1" ~"OInM~~~"II'tCIue.lIloldlljMDpllo__(ll:t".l'lOIIIlnI'<I.lt. ThI ~,.,.,. M....~ _1*Wt~""I'WCI,,""fn'..IM....~.", Of...,__ p:KII"'-......II"~................lMtIt~ AfWnifWlIlCluca...lIol.lMholUrllltfwfl/t __~""'lIrInIlrIthI_~wN""i""'to"'hoIMIto_""itirUI."*'"""" - Existing Slngle.Famlly Home Sales ~ Change In Hom.. Sold 2001.02 2002-03 200).004 2OC4-01 2005-01 20Q6.01 2007-08 Comer Countr 1'.S" 11.1% 16.0% 3.7% .040~ .107% 26.5% Pfl'c.nt C~ In "-dlan Satft Pm:. 2001...(12 2002~3 Eo: 2008-07 2007..08 11.904 12.7% 2B.<l~ 21.8% 0.... ~1.3% .....0% - .... 13.1% 10.7% 2.5'" -27.8% .28.2% .....3~ 1l.8~ 11.8% 17.1~ 2i.2" 5.6'" -5.5% ~1i.e" N_, f1l;111'1.sal..dl~ _ CJlk:\lI~ fll,lVI.trgjtOlilln S11t1.tlul Areu\M5.U). Olhlhg.,,, M~ ".Il.dl.... VlI1l.lffortl'ltMSoI\ Rlwhlcl'lthtgllf\ty~~ed ,.. Houaing ttou.l"I Countl Coll_ Countr ....,. Houling units. 2000 CfIQIl.fll 1<<,531 7.3ll2.tC1 """"""" 102.rn ....1... Owner~ 71.... ....,.7.. " ..."...,...,plt4 75.'" 1..,~ Renter =~'p1ed 25.141 1.....1. %,.ntilr~ ~... 2... V_I "Hi" ...... ,,- 2B,'" 13.. Unlit _ Cotll.r County F~ 2000 8,283 le1,01ll 2001 7.580 18e,1l!1 % ch.nge 2000..01 ~1l,3% 5.... 2002 ..280 188.. '" c~ng. 2001-02 -11..... 10.~ 2003 6,~5 215,_ ,., ch8nge 2002-03 1."~ 15."'" 200< &.338 2$4,0. '4 ching. 2003-04 -o.1'Mi 17.", 2005 6.033 284.1. % chltlfe 2004-05 ....&. 11.. 20110 5.9" 218._ " ch<<lQe 2006-08 -0.7% .22.... 2007 ".115 121.. " ot'IiInII. 2001-01 --31.3" ....... Total Urnt. P.-mtued:ZDOO-ZOO7 50.926- 1,&11,OM State Inf",structure Trt".partatkln ~Cou"" ........ Sta;.HI;ttwav Cen1IrlIneW. 208.' 12.... La1e..... 649.' 42.022;)t s__ Number 21' 6,503 SUta FMilttt. ColU.rCounty ...... BuildlnllsIFacili~ Number ,. 3.... Squa,. FOQtage 250.124 55,1IM,". atat. Lands Coltler Coum, ....,. Conaervatlon LAnda Pal'Cllls 20.... 3S,9a1 A"'... 210,loW.' 3,3043,5.t-2.8 Non-ConwrvstiOn lllnda P,rcell 831 &,238 Acreeg. 29,334.4 221,!132 Employment by Industry Aver... Ann..... Emptorrntnt, Aft..... Annual W.... ....C_ry.2OO1 comer County F_ ~0II'f Coil1M' Coynty All industnn $41.:zao Nat:ul"ll RQOUraI & Mining 4_4'" 1..... Natural RMOUI'OI & Mining $19,833 Const\lclian 14.2'% 1.'" Construction ....... Marn4acturing 2.."- .4.9% ..........""" 145.391 TfWie. Trlln.,ortation and UtilltiM r7,~ 20.2'Ii Trade, Tr1lnsportat;on and UtillbH QUil' ''''''"''.... 1.3% ~.... Information $57,861 FinIlm.lAc:tMtlel ..... ..... Fln'ncllII~ $71.202 PrQI'..-nat . au.m.. s.rva. 10.7" 1.,ft ProfeUiol'lll & Bu....... Servic:M ,....2M Edt.tcItiDn & HMIth s.vtcN ".... 12~ eduCllltion , HoIItth Servicet ,....821 l..ai:tI.nanciHOIpItaIitp' 17.2141< 11,"", Ltisln ."q HoepitII~ $2..... 00._ 3_1'" ,.... 0IMt_ $21,"' aa.nmom 10,1% 13.1'" - "',678 Labor Force ...'_._01.....-_1. .aMc::.s. '''' 2... 200t....lrnlnlry CoIl... _"" ,.... ...... IU. - ".<11I ".... e;c1" u-.__. 'OIl 2000 ZOO.............. CollIIII' ColI" ~... '.710 IS.""' Financial Health Earnings by P1ecs of Work FIo'- S3I,m 124,21& 141.. $41.'. 138.M2 t58.... S58.5. S43.otP $41.1. m,,,*, $21.:: S44, ~ ;:; ..... p- CoIlillrCounty- - E.minpl$OGOS) Conle,Countr F..... '" limo below poverty, 2007 ..... 12.1"'- ~... S4,718,-4t7 1303,505,211 % .~ ~17 living below JXlYlf1)'. 2001 1e2% 11.3% 2001 $5,170,191 $31S,309.&t7 % dmTge 2000..01 .... ,.... ~002 $6,3&4,2'- $328,703,2. ~ Incamt(jOOOe) ColI.... Couner - % en.ng. 2001-02 3_.~ ..... $10,011,910 $451,539,356 '00' ",001,228 $346,315,_ 2001 $11,081,141 1478,187,023 % chMp 2002-03 12.QlIl, 5.. % cn.noe 2??o-o1 10,5'" ..,. 2004 ".841,781 $375,31"",_ 2002 "1,807,1t'7 '4115,481,345 '" d'IenQ. 2003-04 10.7" ..... 'I\~2OO1-o1 ..... ..... .... '7,370.'" $401.311,_ ..... "2,Z8'.m $114,311,841 '1_20_ 10.ft ... '1_2002-OS 5,'" 3.... ""'" $7.&42,137 ........,.. ,... $'......3,436 S6i6,18O.8CIO "ctulrtge 2006-01 e.4'" .... "c:.hlanp20Q3..04 ""... 10.ft 2001 $1e,618,m H".178._ Quality of Life 11 ctwnp 2004.0' 11.ft ..,,, ....-- ""'" .'1,110.. "',071,_ --.....- ~-... ....... ""'- ....... ..., 1.'" 'I HS",_"hljltIor a1.I1ft ":t " ---.......- 21." 22. ,', Pw c..,.. ......... InoonIa c....._ - 2000 ........ ........ erlln. --"" ....... 2001 841,141 $21.271 Crlm. rIiW, 2001 (fndtx Clim.. P'i' ""'- ....... 8,2" 2~ 100,00D~) 2,2U.! ",8943 ,... $42,118 '29,721 Admiuiont: to pt'1IOn FY 2006-07 ,.. 37.. ~ chlng. 2oo1-D2 0.6'" 1.5" AdmISlions to priIon per 100,000 2003 143,091 530,330 population FY 2l)01S.Q7 151.7 202..1 ,. chano- 2002~ 23" 2.0" '004 $50,116 S32,S18 State and Local Taxallon ,. chaflge 2003-04 11S.5% 7,5" 'ODS $54,188 134,71H 2007 A4 Valorem MI..... Rate. CoN.... COunlr' ~ cn."ge 2004-05 7,g" 8.7% County 3.91&1 ~O.. S57.... 538,120 SC...... 53510 % ch.nge 2005-041 8.'" 5.5% ""* 1.7638 T.... 11,0791 PtrsGNIl BankrupW:y FlIng Rate ~.. ~ 1.000 populdon) Colli... Caun.,. FIo.... -"" '-50 4.45 122 ". ""...- " StateR.nk .. NA OlftlllIf)fI!lOflclmlOIf\If~IIlhlcR__ 111 W MIdtIIlIlI EltrMt, Suit 51". T..__an. ~L n3tll.G&II lIIot.: FloriQ""'mM",..cl".MIaITll'O~COIJnty. (t5O)481-1<<la PlIlP:IItiOR.....ft,ij. 'M "" Southwest Florida Regional Economic Indicators April 2009 o Fi OI:IDc\ CUUCCHSI U\I\!ihIT\ Table of Contents Tab Ie of Contents........................... ............................................... ................................................................ 2 Airport Activity................................ ...................... ............................................................................................ 4 Chart 1: Regional Airport Arrivals and Departures........ ...........................................................................................4 Chart 2: R5W Traffic Trend ........................ .............................. ...................... ....................................................5 Chart 3: Sarasota Airport Traffic Trend ......... .................................. ........................ ...............................................5 Tourism Tax Revenues................... ................................... ....................... .........................................6 Chart 4: Lee County Tourism Tax Revenues .... ............................... ................................ ........................................6 Chart 5: Collier County Tourism Tax Revenues ......................................................................................................... 7 Chart 6: Charlotte County Tourism Tax Revenues .................................................................................................... 7 Singl e-Fam ily Bu iJd i ng Perm its..................... ....................... ....................... ................................................................ 8 Chart 7: Lee County........... .. .......................... ........... .. ...................... ....... .........................................8 Chart 8: Collier County.... ........................ ..................................... ........................ ........................................9 Chart 9: Charlotte County ......................... ................................ .................................................. .....9 Taxable Sales ............. ........................................ ................................. .................................................................. ...10 Chart 10: Taxable Sales by County ................................................... ....................................................... ...10 Chart 11: Lee County Taxable Sales - Change from a Year Earlier ............ .............................................................11 Chart 12: Collier County Taxable Sales - Change from a Year Earlier ......................................................................11 Chart 13: Charlotte County Taxable Sales - Change from a Year Earlier .................. ....................................12 Workforce - Unemployment ................ .................................. .............................................12 Chart 14: Regional Unemployment. .................... ............................................. ........... ... .. ................................. .13 Chart 15: Coastal County Unemployment.. ........................ ....................... .................................13 Chart 16: Inland County Unemployment.. ................... ......................................... ........................................14 Sales of Single~Family Existing Homes and Median Sales Price ............................ ............................................14 Chart 17: Lee County........................... .................... .................................. ....................................................15 Chart 18: Collier County............................. .................... ................. .............................. ....................................15 Chart 19: Charlotte County.......... .............. ..............................................16 Consumer Price Index .................. ..... . ..... ............ ...... ............................................................ .. ...... ............................16 Chart 20: CPI Annual Percentage Change... ...................... ........................ .............................. ..........17 Population .............. .................. ................. ......... ...................... ..................... ..................... ........ .................... ........17 Chart 21: Coastal Counties Growth 1990 to 2008............... .................... ................... ...................18 Chart 22: Inland County Growth 1990 to 2008 ................... .................................... .18 Table 1: Projections by County. ............................................................................ ....................... .19 Chart 23: Projections by County.......... ........................ ................ .............. ......................... ...............19 Chart 24: Population Distribution 1990 ..... ................................... ................................................................20 Chart 25: Population Distribution 2008 ............ ........................ .................................................................20 Chart 26: Population Distribution 2030 ......... ....................... .................................................................... ..........21 2 Contact List: Dr. Gary Jackson, Director, Regional Economic Research Institute Phone: 239-590-7317 Email: giackson@lfgcu.edu Mr. Steve Scheff, Business Analyst, Regional Economic Research Institute Phone: 239-590-7315 Emaii: sscheff@fgcu.edu Mr. Jim Breitbach, Technical Support Introduction The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee met on March 18, 2009, and stated that the economy continues to decline with consumers worried about jobs and loss of wealth as stock market and housing prices decline. Consumer spending is down and businesses are having difficulty obtaining credit. The global economy has slowed, reducing U.S. exports. The minutes of the March 17-18, 2009 Federal Open Market Committee were recently released and stated, " The staff's projections for real GDP in the second half of 2009 and in 2010 were revised down, with real GDP expected to flatten out gradually over the second half of this year and then to expand slowly next year as the stresses in financial markets ease, the effects of fiscal stimulus take hold, inventory adjustments are worked through, and the correction in housing activity comes to an end. The weaker trajectory of real output resulted in the projected path of the unemployment rate rising more steeply into early next year before flattening out a high level over the rest of the year." The next meeting of the Open Market Committee is planned for April 28 and 29, 2009. Our regional economic indicator charts show the impact of the slowdown in the local economy in the form of low retail sales, high unemployment rates, low permitting levels, and low inflation rates. Unemployment in Lee County reached 12.2 percent in March. Airport passenger traffic at Regional 50uthwest(RSW) is off by four percent from last February. February tourism revenues are down for Lee and Collier Counties while Charlotte County showed a increase compared to the same month last year. The Regional Economic Research Institute (RERI) is continuing to develop the regional economic database, and this report, as a way to support its mission and assist the region. The Institute thanks its many partners for assistance in obtaining the data, including the Southwest Florida Regional Planning Council, the Economic Development Organizations of Charlotte, Collier, and Lee Counties, and the county and city permit offices. 3 Airport Activity Airport passenger activity is defined as the sum of arrivals and departures for Regional Southwest Florida, Sarasota and Naples airports. In Chart 1, passenger activity for Regional Southwest Florida (RSW) and Sarasota (SRQ) are shown on the left vertical axis and the numbers for Naples airport (APF) are shown on the right vertical axis. Peak seasonal activity occurs in February, March and April. Significantly lower activity takes place in the summer months, especially the period of June to September. Charts 2 and 3 illustrate the monthly seasonality of airport passenger traffic and the changes from year to year. Regional Southwest Florida (RSW) airport located in Lee County is ranked as one of the fifty busiest airports in the nation. The 2008 passenger activity peaked in March at 1,030,151 and as expected, activity levels fell over the slower summer months, as shown in Chart 1. The February 2009 passenger level was 809,990 which is four percent lower than the February 2008 level of 845,741. Sarasota (SRQ) passenger activity was 130,541 in February 2009 or approximately 22 percent lower than February 2008, albeit up 14 percent from January 2009. Charlotte County has added commercial passenger service and we plan to track activity levels there as information becomes available. I\rrivals and Airport Passenger Arrivals plus Departures (APF on Right hand scale) 1200 . "C " . . , 1000 0 " ... a 800 '" lI) .. ~ lI) 600 ~ 0 ~ ~ 400 t II ~ c + 200 0 .. .~ .;; 0 18 16. "C e 14'g , :r 12_ LL 0- 10~ o ~ 8 f .. 6 Co .!l + 4 0 .. > 2 'E <I: o Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dee Jan Feb 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 2009 2009 &. RSW (SWFL Int'l) -+--SRQ (Sarasota) ._-:*~ APF (Naples) Source: local Airport Authorities 4 ChartZ: RSW Traffic Trend 1200 RSW (SW Florida International) Airport Passenger Traffic Trend 200 1000 . "" C . . c "g 800 .... . E c i 600 0. . o . c i5. 400 . .. > .C .:. o Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jut Aug Sep Oct Nov Dee Source: Local Airport Authorities 3: Sarasota Airport Treml 250 SRQ (Sarasota) Airport Passenger Traffic Trend Ul -g 200 .. Ul " o .J:: I- eD 150 .. ~ " 1:: .. 0- .. C 100 Ul " a. Ul <i .~ 50 ~ <( o Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dee Source: local Airport Authorities 5 Tourism Tax Revenues Tourism tax revenues for the region are shown in Charts 4,5, and 6, and are based on month of occupancy. The charts show that tourism tax revenues were down 12 percent in February for lee and 14 percent for Collier compared to February 2008. Conversely, Charlotte County recorded a 10 percent increase versus February 2008, which was unexpected given the current economic climate. 6000 5000 ~ .., c 4000 ~ ~ ~ 0 -'" .... '" 3000 ~ ~ c ~ > ~ 2000 a: ~ ~ .... 1000 Chart 4; County Tourism Lee County Monthly Tourist Tax Revenue 2006 - 2009 o Jan F~ ~r ~r ~ Jun Jul ~ ~p Oct Nav ~ Month of Occupancy Source: Local County Tourism, Tax, and Economic Development Reports 6 ~ .., c :: 2000 ~ o .<: I- .. , 1500 ~ ~ c ~ > ~ 1000 " ~ I- Chart Collier County Tourism Tax Revenues Collier County Monthly Tourist Tax Revenue 2006 - 2009 3000 2500 500 o Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Month of Occupancy Sep Oct Nav Dee Source: Local County Tourism. Tax, and Economic Development Reports May Jun Jul Aug Month of Occupancy Source: Local County Tourism, Tax, and Economic Development Reports 300 ~ 250 .., c ~ ~ ~ 0 200 .<: I- .. ~ 150 ~ c ~ > ~ <r: " 100 r; Chart County Tourism 'fax Revenues 350 Charlotte County Monthly Tourist Tax Revenue 2006 - 2009 50 o Jan Feb Ma, 1'<>' Sep Oct Nov Dec 7 Single-Family Building Permits Single-family home permits issued remained low for the region as the economy's recession and a large inventory of homes continued to put downward pressure on housing prices. The March single-family permitting in Lee County decreased to SO in March from 55 in February as shown in Chart 7; one year ago, the figure was 74. Single-family permits for Collier County decreased from 58 in February to 36 in March, as shown in Chart 8. This fell short of the Coliier County total of 47 in March 2008. In Charlotte County, 29 permits were issued in March 2009 compared to 40 in both February 2009 as well as March 2008. This is illustrated in Chart 9. CharI 7; Lee County Single Family Permits Issued - Lee County 2000.07 Monthly Averages for Each Vear; Most Recent 12 Months Data 400 1600 1400 1200 'C 1000 . , . .. .e 800 .~ . ll. 600 200 o 2~~12m20032~2005~~~ MarA~MQJunJW~_~tNovD~J~F~Mar ~~~~M~MMM ~~2008~20082~2~2~~~2~2~2~ Source: Local Building and Zoning Departments, including Fort Myers, Cape Coral, and Unincorporated lee County, Bonita Springs and Fort Myers Beach permits. 8 Chart 8: Collier County Single Family Permits Issued - Collier County 2000-2008 Monthly Averages; Most Recent 13 Months Data 350 300 250 "C . 51200 " 2! .~ 150 0.. 100 50 0 > > > ~ > > ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ 0 0 N ~ 8 ~ ~ 0 ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ w 8 ~ ~ 8 8 w w w ~ ~ w ~ 0 ~ ~ ~ g ~ ~ .. N N N N ~ 0 :;:: g> ~ > u 0 ~ . ~ , . 0 . . ~ ~ w Z Q ~ " ~ Source: Local Building and Zoning Departments, includes unincorporated Collier County permits only. Chart 9: Charlotte COllllty Single Family Pennits Issued - Charlotte County 2001.2008 Monthly Averages; Most Recent 13 Months Data 300 250 2! 200 g . "- '0 150 - . .Q e , z 100 50 0 > > > ~ ~ ~ ~ > w w w w w w w w w w m m m '" '" '" '" 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 N M .., ~ w ~ w 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 N N N N N N N N N N N N N 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 m 'I" ~ c "3 ~ ~ 13 > u C .Q m N N N N N N N N m 0 ~ 0 8J 0 0 . m . " " ~ '" z 0 ~ "- " Source: Local Building and Zoning Departments, includes unincorporated Charlotte County permits only. 9 Taxable Sales The taxable sales charts show month of collection rather than the reporting month issued by the Florida Department of Revenue. This makes December the latest collection month plotted on the following charts. The taxable sales figures are used to track consumer spending, an important component of the regional economy. Chart 10 provides a historical range of average monthly taxable sales from 2000 to 2008. Each of the counties had a month-to-month increase in taxable sales in December 2008. as expected during the busier winter season. The local impact of the current recession is clearly visible in the year- to-year percentage drops in taxable sales. Lee County saw December 2008 taxable sales 12 percent below December 2007 levels as shown in Chart 11. Collier and Charlotte Counties experienced year-to- year reductions of 11 and 12 percent, respectively, as shown in Charts 12 and 13. Hendry County's taxable sales (not charted) were off by 21 percent from a year earlier, while Glades (not charted) was down by 16 percent. 1,200 1,000 l!! ~ i 800 " j ~ 600 ~ 15 () ~ 400 2 () 200 Charll 0: Taxable Sales by CUlm Monthly Taxable Sales 2000 to 2008 o 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 12mo ending DeeDa Source: Florida Department of Tax Research Monthly Averages for Each Year and Most Recent 12 Months 10 40 3S 30 .. c o 25 :: i 20 ~ " c " 15 :: .. " " 10 .!! Cl 5 o Chart 11; Lee Coullty Taxable Sales - Change from a Year Earlier Lee County Taxable Sales: Change from Year Earlier 5% 10% 0% .5% -10% -15% -20% -25% ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ 0 0 " 0 0 '% " 0 " 0 " 0 " 0 " '5' " " " " " 0 " 0 c -" ~ >. C, ..,. ~ -" ..,. ~ ffi ~ ~ ~ u > 0 ffi ~ ~ 0 ~ 0 ~ u > '" . m -': ~ . 0 m . m ~ ~ . 0 ~ '" <( '" <( if> 0 Z 0 . ~ '" <( '" . <( if> 0 Z 0 Source: Florida Department of Tax Research 12: Collier County Taxable Sales - Change 1rom a Year Earlier Collier County Taxable Sales; Change from Year Earlier 0% -2% -4% -6% -8% -10% -12% -14% -16% -18% -20% ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ " " " '5' 9 0 " 0 0 9 0 0 0 0 " '5' 0 9 9 9 9 9 9 0 C D ~ ~ C "5 0, C. 13 > ~ c -" ~ I c "5 rn ~ 13 > ~ rn ill ~ rn ~ . ~ Jj 0 rn ill ~ ~ . .C/ Jj 0 . ~ '" . 0 z 0 . ~ . 0 z 0 Source: Florida Department of Tax Research 11 Chart 13: Charlotte County Taxable Sales - Change from a Year Earlier Charlotte County Taxable Sales: Change from Year Earlier 5% 10% 0% -5% -10% -15% -20% -25% -30% -35% ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ '" '" '" '" '" '" '" '" '" '" '" '" '" '" '" '" '" '" '" '" '" 0 0 0 '" 0 '" '" '" 0 '" 0 0 0 0 0 c ~ :. ~ ~ c "S ~ ~ .c ,; ~ c .b :. ~ ~ C "S in i. .c ,; ~ . v . ~ ~ 'I ~ u 0 . v ~ ~ ~ 'I ~ u 0 ~ "- ::; ::; ~ 0 :z 0 ~ "- ::; ~ 0 :z 0 Source: Florida Department ofTax Research Workforce - Unemployment Unemployment levels in Southwest Florida remain high, as shown in Chart 14. The unemployment rates reported in this report are not seasonally adjusted. lee County's unemployment rate rose from 12.1 percent in February 2009 to 12.2 percent in March 2009. Collier County's unemployment rate rose to 9.4 percent in March 2009 from 9.3 percent in February 2008. Charlotte County's unemployment rate declined to 11.7 percent in March 2009 from 11.8 percent in February 2009. Hendry County unemployment increased from 10.9 percent in February to 11.3 percent in March 2009. Glades County's unemployment decreased from 8.0 percent in February 2008 to 7.9 percent in March 2009. The Florida unemployment rate was 9.5 percent in January 2009 (not seasonally adjusted) and the national unemployment rate was 9.0 percent for March 2009 (not seasonally adjusted). Charts 15 and 16 show the unemployment rates for our region and provide a longer term historical perspective from 2000 to 2008 and the latest 13 months. Unemployment rates above 5.0 percent reflect cyclical unemployment and a slowdown of the economy from long-run trends. Our region has been hit particularly hard due to its dependence on housing and construction in general. 12 Chari 14; HegionalUnemploymen! SWFL County Unemployment Rates ('!o) - Most Recent 13 Months 16.0 8.0 14.0 12.0 10.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 MarGa AprOa MayDa JunG8 Jul08 AugOB Sep08 OetOB NovOS DeeDS Jan09 Feb09 Mar09 Source; AWl Chart 15; Coastal County Unemployment SWFL Coastal County Unemployment Rates (%) 2000-2008 Monthly Averages; Most Recent 13 Months Data 9.0 130 11.0 7.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 20002001 2002200320042005200620072008 Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dee Jan Feb Mar 00 00 W W M 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 Source AWl 13 Charll6: Inland Counly Unemployment SWFL Inland County Unemployment Rates ("!o) 2000-2008 Monthly Averages; Most Recent 13 Months Data 16.0 8.0 14.0 12.0 10.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sap Oct No... Dee Jan Feb Mar 00 00 00 M 00 M 00 00 00 00 W 00 00 Source AWl Sales ofSingle-I<'amily Existing Homes and Median Sales Price The number of existing single-family homes sold by Realtors in February 2009 increased from the prior month in Lee, Collier, and Chariotte Counties. Lee County sales increased from 758 in January 2009 to 875 in February 2009, as shown in Chart 17. The median sales price for Lee County increased from $94,900 to $97,500. Collier County sales increased from 190 to 221 with the median price increasing to $200,000 from $175,000 in February as shown in Chart 18. Charlotte County sales increased from 175 in January to 216 in February, with the median sales price decreasing from $99,500 to $96,400, as shown in Chart 19. 14 1200 1000 I!! 800 0 - .. " 0:: 600 >- .c "tl "0 III 400 .. " E 0 200 J: 0 Charl17: Lee County Lee County Existing Single Family Home Sales by Realtors ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ "' "' "' "' "' "' "' "' "' "' "' "' ~ ~ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N :. a. > c "5 ~ ~ 1) > u C D ~ ~ > c "5 ~ ~ 1) > u C D m 0 ~ 0 Jj 0 ~ m ~ m 0 ~ ~ ~ 0 ~ m ~ ::; <( ::; ~ <( 0 z 0 ~ "- ::; ::; ~ (f) 0 z 0 ~ "- $300 $250 .. "tl l: $200 = " o .<: .... $150 ~ " ." "- $100..!! .. III l: .. $50 :;; " ::E $0 Source: Florida Association of Realtors" Fort Myers - Cape Coral MSA h1!l!1Lmed.12JLY..i!:!ILng!L5tati5tics/sta.!L'J.G:~fu!1l:W:r:!l Chart 1 B: Collier County Collier County Existing Single Family Home Sales by Realtors 300 $600 250 $500 .. "tl l: I!! 200 .. $400 .. .s " .. 0 .<: " .... 0:: >0 150 $300 " .c " "tl ." "0 "- III 100 " $200 .. .. III " E l: 0 .. J: 50 $100 :;; " ::E 0 $0 ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ "' "' "' "' "' "' "' "' "' "' "' "' ~ ~ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2: 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N ~ a. > c "5 ~ ~ u > u C D ~ .:t > c "5 ~ ~ u > u C D ::; <( m 0 ~ 0 ~ 0 0 ~ m ~ ::; m 0 ~ 0 ~ 0 0 ~ m ~ ::; ~ <( (f) z 0 ~ "- ::; ~ <( (f) z 0 ~ "- Source: Naples Area Board of Realtors" (NABOR) '!Lv'!..w,n~.p-'-f;;'{lg:Q."fOm. 15 Charl19: Charlotte County Charlotte County Existing Single Family Home Sales by Realtors 50 $250 350 300 I!! 250 .'3 iii & 200 ,., .c "C 150 "0 III '" Q) 100 E o J: $200 '" 'tl C '" '" ::l $150~ .... " u ." $100"- " iii III c '" $50 '6 " :; 0 $0 '"- '"- '"- '"- '"- '"- '"- '"- '"- '"- '" '" '" '" '" '" '" '" '" '" '" '" '" '" 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> 0> N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N i;; ~ ~ c "5 0> Q. 13 > ~ c ~ ~ ~ c "5 0> Q. 13 > u c ~ rn ~ ~ ~ ~ 0 rn ~ rn ~ rn ~ ~ ~ ell 0 ~ rn ~ ::; ::; ~ en 0 z 0 ~ "- ::; ::; ~ 0 z 0 ~ "- Source: Florida Association of Realtors fI Punta Gerda, Florida MSA blliUl'T!.9dia.livi!1J~_,Q,~jf.2!Eti_?JI!;?h..u.ljl5E<:;5_tyJ.Lb:t!Jll Consumer Price Index The consumer price index (CPI) is reported forthe nation, region, and the Miami-Fort Lauderdale area. The Miami-Fort Lauderdale area CPI is collected every two months. For the last 12 months ending in February 2009, it has increased by 0.7 percent, as shown in Chart 20. The overall Miami-Fort Lauderdale CPI index for the last 12 months ending February 2009 can be broken down into the following component parts: . Food and beverages rose 3.7 percent; . . Housing rose 2.9 percent; . . Apparel fell 2.8 percent; . . Transportation fell 9.2 percent; . . Medical care rose 5.4 percent; . . Recreation rose 3.1 percent; 't . Education and communication fell 0.2 percent; and . . Other goods and services rose 3.9 percent. . Food, medical care, and other goods and services costs have risen substantially over the last year. 16 Chart 20: CPI Annual Percentage Change Consumer Price Index Monthly Data - Change From Year Earlier 7.0% 1.0% --+- Miami I Ft Lauderdale -It- US South Region * ---k- US National 6.0% ~ .S! ~5.0% w ~ .. ~4.0% E o ~3.0% '" c .. c3 2.0% 0.0% . South Region: Alabama, Arkansas, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Mississippi, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia. and West Virginia. -1.0% Feb-OO Feb-01 Feb-02 Feb-03 Feb-04 Feb-05 Feb-Oe Feb-07 Feb-Oe Feb-09 Source: BLS Population The length and severity of the current global recession is expected to slow regional and state population growth for the next couple of years. A Florida Demographic Estimating Conference was held in July 2008 and their forecasts are included in this report. Charts 21 and 22 show the historic population growth from 1990 to 2008. Collier County grew at an average annual growth rate of 4.6 percent from 1990 to 2008. Lee County almost doubled its population from 1990 to 2008 growing at an annual rate of 3.6 percent. As indicated in Chart 22, Charlotte, Glades, and Hendry Counties had average annual rates of population growth between 2.2 and 2.5 percent per year. Table 1 shows projected population increases for 2008 to 2030 and Chart 21 provides a chart of the population projections for 2008 through 2030. Charts 24 through 26 provide the percentages of regional population by County for the years 1990,2008, and 2030. 17 Chart 21: Coastal Counties Growth 1990 to 200B Historic Population Growth Charlotte, Collier, and Lee Counties 700 600 III 500 " " .. .. 5400 .:: I- " 0300 '" .. :; Q. g,,200 100 o 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Source: Florida EDR: July 2008. Chart 22: Inland County Growth 1990 to 2008 Historic Population Growth Glades and Hendry Counties 5 45 40 35 . -g 30 . . , ~ 25 I- c :B 20 . ;; Co ~ 15 10 o 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Source: Florida EDR: July 2008. 18 Table 1: Projections by County EDR Demographic Estimating Conference Poculation Estimates and Projections bv County Year Charlotte Collier Lee Hendry Glades 2008 166,112 339,128 631,733 40,208 11,256 2010 169,694 353,878 654,599 40,828 11,597 2020 195,899 455,288 852,005 46,678 12,556 2030 219,266 548,872 1,033,510 51,969 13,422 Source: Florida EDR: July 2008. Chart 23: Projections by County Population Growth Projections 1200 -lj1000 c . ~ ~ 800 I- m ~ 600 j o u _ 400 ~ . c3 200 o 2008 2010 I - Charlotte Source: Florida EDR: July 2008. 2015 2020 2025 2030 ----'Glades _. -Hendry I -Collier -Lee 19 60 50 .. " c .. 40~ o .l: I- 30~ " c ~ 20- .. " " .. 1cP o Chart 24: Population Distribution 1990 Population Distribution by County - 1990 . Collier 24% o Glad es 1% [lJ Charlotte 18% o Hend ry 4% Source: Florida EDR: July 2008. Chart : Population Distribution 2008 Population Distribution by County - 2008 . Collier 29% o Glades 1%1 o Hend ry 3% t:I Charlotte 14% . Lee 53% Source: Florida EDR: July 2008_ 20 1m Charlotte 12% Source: Florida EDR: July 2008. Chart 26: Population Distribution 2030 Population Distribution by County - 2030 . Collier 29% 1m Glades 1% o Hend ry 3% 21 $ RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY. 2007-09 MEDIAN LISTING PRICE 470,000 ---- ---- ------ - 460,000 - --- f' ...... , 50,000 \ 1/ '\ / 440,000 , '\ J I 430,000 V - -....... / ! ..... 20,000 - ! i 410,000 -- 400,000 / " ...... 390,000 II ~ 8$ 000 380,000 ' K' "- ~/ $3r I "- ...... 370.000 "" I '" 360.000 ...... ;"'" "..I """ - -- ...... 350,000 ~:Jo4. )00 340,000 330,000 320,000 310,000 , i 300,000 ' Jan f'eb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Au&, Sep Oct NOll Dee -+-2007 $450,000 $,l19,7oo $459.000 $449,900 $450,000 $449.000 ~,OOO $429,000 $425.000 $419,700 $419.00: $459,000 -+-2008 $,379,000 $.368,000 $.399,000 $.399,000 $.389.000 $.378.00: $369,000 $.359.000 $.350,000 $.350,000 $.349,90: $349.000 -+-2009 ~155,Ooo $.354.000 $.375,000 $.380,Ooo~5,Ooo ! MONTHS $ $4 $ $ $4 $ $ w u ii: $ 0- Z ~ $ w , :E $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ COLLIER COUNTY RESIDENTIAL SALES. MEDIAN SALES PRICE 2000 . 2009 w u ii: lL Z '" is w :E $50MOO ,",--;,;'--__,,"__e'-:--r- ,~,~,_.,,""""'- ---'"",--,-- ",'"."._,",--,,-,,---------,", $475,000 . '\ ~ I-" " $450,000 ......... V V......... \.-,', ,.0c $425,000 ~ 1/$ " ~ / "-... --.. $400,000 , ...... r---... '\ r - " $375,000 ....... \. / / $350,000 , ..... """'~' V $325,000 , -+ '"'" "A-" ~ /- -- $300,000 /" ,,/' ---- /' ~ ~~ $275,000 ',. ~ /' ---- '" $250,000 " ,.--""- ~, ""--' ,.... .. ,.-- ""., $225,000 +-' ......... ..... - . "- ....- " '-~ $200,000 ... ~~ -.- V' --- [/""""" $175,000 7~~A' '"", -' " ~ , $180,0 u ",' $150,000 $125,000 I $100,000 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dee "",2000 172,400 $164,950 ~75,5OC $179,90: $172,450 $189,500 !$t79,500 "59,500 $162,900 $179,9OC ~177 ,200 ~169,250 ~2001 187,800 177,450 ~179,9OC $179,90: $189,900 $197,000 ~174,950 176,850 $179,450 $179,9OC ~169,9OO ~189,9oo -+-2002 195,000 187,000 ~201,2OC 205,5OC $219,900 $214,850 $219,900 $223,900 $194,500 $205,25l: $214,900 ~214,95O -+-2003 219,900 225,000 ~239,9oo $229,90: $239,900 $239,950 $230,004 $234,900 $229,900 $239,900 239,000 ~239 ,900 -+-2004 263,240 259,900 ~275,o00 $293,5OC $289,000 $316,00: $289,900 $319,950 $309,000 $.109,000 $319,900 ~29,o00 ~,,'''2005 0399,000 $399,900 ~98,B9o; P420,oOC $t30,ooo $439,oOC $427,450 $440,000 $425,000 $439,000 $t39,o00 ~6,o00 -+-2006 &479,700 $429,900 ~9,9OO $469,9OC $475,000 $4..'>9,9OC $410,000 $419,000 $409,000 $355,000 ~'189,45O ~99 ,000 -+-2007 !>ISO,OOO $420,000 ~19,ooo $4019 ,oOC $429,000 $400,oOC $385,oOC $379,500 $362;100 $360,000 $325,000 t>J70,o00 --+-2008 ,390,000 $345,000 ~20,o00 $300,000 $.118,475 $314,85l: 278,oOC $245,375 $246,499 $234,900 $212,000 ~202,500 -11-2009 180,000 $185,000 ~173,ooo $176,000 MONTHS RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY. 2007-09 NUMBER liSTINGS o 0 III Cl z i= III ::; 0: W ell ::E ::l Z 20 0 19000 - 18000 17000 16000 -- .--- 15000 14000 13000 ~ 12000 1/ ....... ............-.. - 11000 7 ~ .-+ .,.. ,462. ~ ....- 10000 '" 0 -IIJ,::'I'-, "0 801 9000 8000 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 Jan F.b Mar Apc May Jun JuJ Au~ S.p Oct Nov D.e ___2007 12,136 11,928 11,628 11,157 10,700 10,544 10,519 10,734 11 ,230 11,343 -+-2008 10,276 12,1)44 12,036 11,771 11$175 10)172 10,432 10,140 10.064 10,150 10,446 10,783 -- -.-2009 10,518 10.600 10.847 10,463 9.801 MONTHS COLLIER COUNTY RESIDENTIAL SALES - NUMBER OF SALES 2000 - 2009 1200 III W ..J ~ u.. o 0:: W CO :?: ::l Z 1100 1000 /~" ,. r " ~'\ V / 900 1 \\ 800 // \~ l 700 .--'^' j /' .~ ~ ~.'..\ 1 .~ ~ / 600 V / -5 ~O ./ '.~ /-"1 J/C. " 500 ~ ~ 'l / r---;::: ~ \,,/ "" "".~ '" y ,~ / 400 ~ .. ,. r3 .... ",'<:: (\.. V/ .."... ,. 300 - .J> '" ~ t'-. ..... !II: "/ .~ I............':: 200 .... 100 0 Sep ran Feb Mar Apr May Jun rul AuS Oct No\! Dee -- .....2000 220 222 339 351 364 319 245 241 221 231 222 254 ____2001 240 222 346 361 336 378 284 336 246 235 23..;; 264 - .j.- - -+-2002 254 265 392 490 446 402 36S 357 317 346 349 342 ---- -+- 2003 469 447 538 679 642 678 654 589 S78 576 447 753 -+-2004 509 611 979 1022 915 1019 758 668 581 SS2 629 711 . 2005 684 710 966 1058 913 997 716 711 656 445 549 428 -- e-- J--- -+-2006 432 347 529 477 478 451 314 323 323 252 264 223 -+-2007 259 261 371 380 409 414 260 280 229 2S2 225 269 . 2008 271 269 377 464 493 434 353 354 346 361 364 406 - 1------ --- ----- e----- ----..- ....--- e----- - _____2009 335 407 S47 560 _ L--_L__.__ L-..___L_ .---- -- MONTHS