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Agenda 07/14/2020 Item #10B (Sea Level Rise)07/14/2020 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Recommendation to direct the County Manager, or designee, to develop a scope, estimated cost and schedule for a combined Vulnerability Assessment and Adaption Planning Study related to sea-level rise for future consideration. OBJECTIVE: To acknowledge that Collier County’s sea level rise (SLR) planning activities to date have established the basis and need to begin the next step in the process. At play are two needs: a planning strategy to guide our region through the near term (throu gh 2030 and 2060) during which climate change impacts will be less severe and addressable through economically sustainable practices; and a long term strategy (to 2100) when the sustainability of the existing cultural and economic character of the County may be challenged by the extreme effects of climate change. The next step is to direct the County Manager, or his designee, to proceed with the preparation of scope, estimated cost, and schedule for a combined Vulnerability Assessment and Adaptation Planning Study for both short term (to 2060) and long term (2100) needs by the Board of County Commissioners (Board). CONSIDERATIONS: In June of 2015, the Board confirmed their interest in the SLR challenge coastal communities face and provided direction to the County Manager to proceed with data gathering, etc. Since that time, two scientists, Drs. Peter Sheng, Professor of Civil and Coastal Engineering at the University of Florida, and Michael Savarese, Professor of Coastal Resilience and Climate Adaptation, The Water School, Florida Gulf Coast University, received a $1 million grant from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) to study SLR. These two scientists chose Collier County for their study primarily because County and City Governments were fully supportive and because of the integrated urban and natural landscape of our region. The Board has continued to move that discussion forward with a series of presentations and direction to staff related to the SLR planning process including: • Support of the NOAA grant application for a 3-year study and modeling exercise related to the impacts of SLR and storm surge on Collier County • Establishment of specialized End User teams to support the NOAA grant • Comprehensive updates including additional working tasks, identifying stakeholders and partners, etc., legislative actions, rate of rise calculations, coastal resilience, business stakeholder meetings, vulnerability assessment activities, regional compact discussions, etc. • Status presentations on the NOAA project including demonstrations of the capabilities of the model and a rapid forecasting tool (ACUNE) • Interviews and community surveys, which include work by Dr. Savarese (FGCU) and the League of Women Voters to collect needed data for the Vulnerability Assessment Based on the activities that have occurred so far, combined with the ongoing work by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (ACOE) through the Coastal Storm Risk Management Feasibility Study and the commencement of the second NOAA study, ACUNE+, and completion of the initial Climate Vulnerability Assessment for the City of Naples, this is the appropriate time to move forward with a combined Vulnerability Assessment and Adaptation Planning Study. This Planning Study will benefit from the tools and findings from the first NOAA study (ACUNE), the ACOE study, and the City of Naples study. The process is envisioned to be comprehensive, with input from the City of Naples, the City of Marco 10.B Packet Pg. 292 07/14/2020 Island, and the City of Everglades. Data collection for this effort will also include other governmental agencies, not-for-profits, non-governmental organization (NGOs) citizen and cultural groups, etc. The general strategies/categories for this Vulnerability Assessment and Adaptation Study include: Identification of Risk (Where effects may occur? Who is affected? What infrastructure and populations are the focus?); Regulatory (Comprehensive Planning/Zoning, Land Development and Building Code Laws and Ordinances); Adaption Options (Protection, Accommodation, Retreat, Avoidance); Legal Issues and Property Rights; Public/Private Partnerships; Infrastructure Planning; Financial and Economic Modeling and Public Outreach and Input. This study will focus specifically on sea level rise and storm effects, but will also serve a template for future evaluations of other environmental drivers (e.g., effects of precipitation and freshwater flooding, increased temperature, etc.). This is not a new initiative and has been discussed by the Board in the past. In our prior discussion, we said we would wait until the technical studies were far enough along to support the planning effort. I have confirmed with staff that we are now at that stage and ready to initiate the planning effort. FISCAL IMPACT: Estimated cost for the Study will be developed as part of the proposed scoping and scheduling for future review by the Board. There is currently no funding identified for this effort in the current fiscal year or in the proposed Fiscal Year 2021 budget. GROWTH MANAGEMENT IMPACT: This action is consistent with is consistent with the applicable sections of the Stormwater Management and Conservation and Coastal Management elements of the Collier County Growth Management Plan. LEGAL CONSIDERATIONS: This item has been reviewed by the County Attorney, raises no legal issues, and requires majority vote for approval. -JAK RECOMMENDATION: To direct the County Manager, or his designee, to develop a scope, estimated cost and schedule for a combined Vulnerability Assessment and Adaption Planning Study related to sea-level rise for future consideration by the Board of County Commissioners. Prepared by: Penny Taylor, District 4, County Commissioner 10.B Packet Pg. 293 07/14/2020 COLLIER COUNTY Board of County Commissioners Item Number: 10.B Doc ID: 12852 Item Summary: Recommendation to direct the County Manager, or designee, to develop a scope, estimated cost and schedule for a combined Vulnerability Assessment and Adaption Planning Study related to sea-level rise for future consideration. (Commissioner Taylor) Meeting Date: 07/14/2020 Prepared by: Title: Executive Secretary to County Manager – County Manager's Office Name: MaryJo Brock 07/07/2020 1:02 PM Submitted by: Title: County Manager – County Manager's Office Name: Leo E. Ochs 07/07/2020 1:02 PM Approved By: Review: Office of Management and Budget MaryJo Brock Level 3 OMB Gatekeeper Review Skipped 07/07/2020 1:02 PM County Attorney's Office Jeffrey A. Klatzkow Level 3 County Attorney's Office Review Completed 07/07/2020 4:26 PM County Manager's Office Nick Casalanguida Level 4 County Manager Review Completed 07/08/2020 9:01 AM Board of County Commissioners MaryJo Brock Meeting Pending 07/14/2020 9:00 AM 10.B Packet Pg. 294