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Agenda 12/07/2017 PELICAN BAY SERVICES DIVISION Municipal Service Taxing and Benefit Unit NOTICE OF PUBLIC MEETING DECEMBER 7, 2017 THE CLAM BAY COMMITTEE OF THE PELICAN BAY SERVICES DIVISION WILL MEET AT 1:30 PM ON THURSDAY, DECEMBER 7 AT THE PELICAN BAY SERVICES DIVISION, 3RD FLOOR OF THE SUNTRUST BUILDING, SUITE 302, LOCATED AT 801 LAUREL OAK DRIVE, NAPLES, FLORIDA 34108. AGENDA 1. Roll call 2. Agenda approval 3. Approval of 10/03/17 meeting minutes 4. Audience comments 5. Clam Bay a. Monitoring Irma recovery b. Removing debris from hand-dug channels and waterways C. Other debris removal d. Die-off area assessment e. Other 6. Clam Pass a. Update on current conditions b. November tidal ratio report 7. Water Quality a. Copper results b. Third quarter report on TP and TN C. WIN data entry d. Water sample collection e. Discharge from Mystique construction project 8. Annual reports — due December 15, 2017 a. Clam Bay monitoring b. Water Quality — due 30 days after October WQ results reported C. Bathymetric and tidal monitoring 9. Next meeting: January 4 10. Adjournment ANY PERSON WISHING TO SPEAK ON AN AGENDA ITEM WILL RECEIVE UP TO THREE (3) MINUTES PER ITEM TO ADDRESS THE BOARD. THE BOARD WILL SOLICIT PUBLIC COMMENTS ON SUBJECTS NOT ON THIS AGENDA AND ANY PERSON WISHING TO SPEAK WILL RECEIVE UP TO THREE (3) MINUTES. THE BOARD ENCOURAGES YOU TO SUBMIT YOUR COMMENTS IN WRITING IN ADVANCE OF THE MEETING. ANY PERSON WHO DECIDES TO APPEAL A DECISION OF THIS BOARD WILL NEED A RECORD OF THE PROCEEDING PERTAINING THERETO,AND THEREFORE MAY NEED TO ENSURE THAT A VERBATIM RECORD IS MADE, WHICH INCLUDES THE TESTIMONY AND EVIDENCE UPON WHICH THE APPEAL IS TO BE BASED. IF YOU ARE A PERSON WITH A DISABILITY WHO NEEDS AN ACCOMMODATION IN ORDER TO PARTICIPATE IN THIS MEETING YOU ARE ENTITLED TO THE PROVISION OF CERTAIN ASSISTANCE. PLEASE CONTACT THE PELICAN BAY SERVICES DIVISION AT (239) 597-1749. VISIT US AT HTTP://PELICANBAYSERVICESDIVISION.NET. 11/30/2017 3:43 PM PELICAN BAY SERVICES DIVISION CLAM BAY COMMITTEE MEETING OCTOBER 3,2017 The Clam Bay Committee of the Pelican Bay Services Division met on Tuesday, October 3 at 10:00 a.m. at the SunTrust Bank Building, 801 Laurel Oak Drive, Suite 302, Naples, Florida 34108. In attendance were: Clam Bay Committee Bohdan Hirniak (absent) Susan O'Brien, Chairman Gary Ventress Pelican Bay Services Division Staff Mary McCaughtry, Operations Analyst Neil Dorrill, Administrator Lisa Jacob, Associate Project Manager Marion Bolick, Operations Manager (absent) Barbara Shea, Recording Secretary Also Present Jennifer Bobka, Earth Tech Mike Shepherd, PBSD Board Mohamed Dabees, Humiston& Moore Jeremy Sterk, Earth Tech Tim Hall, Turrell, Hall & Associates Dave Trecker, PBSD Board APPROVED AGENDA(AS AMENDED) 1. Roll call 2. Agenda approval 3. Approval of 06/08/17 meeting minutes 4. Audience comments 5. Clam Bay a. Condition of mangroves b. Water level logger data c. Hand-dug channel maintenance d. Other updates 6. Clam Pass a. Update on current conditions b. September tidal ratio report c. Bathymetric surveys and findings d. Dredging Clam Pass 7. Water Quality a. Sediment report b. Copper results c. 2nd quarter report on TP and TN d. Adding water clarity to WQ parameters e. WIN data entry f. Water quality sampling August& September (add-on) 8. Annual reports—due December 15, 2017 a. Clam Bay monitoring 1 Pelican Bay Services Division Clam Bay Committee Meeting October 3,2017 b. Water Quality—due 30 days after October WQ results reported c. Bathymetric and tidal monitoring 8A. Clam Pass Park update (add-on) 9. Next meeting: January 4 10. Adjournment ROLL CALL Mr. Hirniak was absent and a quorum was established AGENDA APPROVAL Mr. Ventress motioned, Ms. O'Brien seconded to approve the agenda as amended, with the addition of items #7f and 8A. The motion carried unanimously. APPROVAL OF 06/08/17 MEETING MINUTES Mr. Ventress motioned, Ms. O'Brien seconded to approve the 06/08/17 meeting minutes as amended. The motion carried unanimously. AUDIENCE COMMENTS None CLAM BAY CONDITION OF MANGROVES The committee reviewed before (August 22) and after (September 19)photos of the Clam Bay mangroves, provided by Humiston and Moore, to assess the damage from Hurricane Irma. October 2 aerial photos, taken by Earth Tech, were also reviewed. Mr. Hall commented that "replacing mangroves" is FEMA reimbursable. WATER LEVEL LOGGER DATA Mr. Sterk provided water level logger data through the prior week, and commented that the Clam Bay system has easily handled various summer rain events, and drainage has improved in comparison to last summer. He reported that logger #3 is "down" as a result of the hurricane and will be reinstalled. Ms. Jacob reported that canoe marker #12 has been uprooted and needs to be reinstalled. HAND-DUG CHANNEL MAINTENANCE Mr. Sterk commented on comparison photos (March & June) of Clam Bay hand-dug channels; the next inspection will be in early November. He commented that additional funds may be necessary for additional channel clean-up resulting from Hurricane Irma. Near-term attention is needed to clean out debris and fallen trees from these channels. Mr. Hall commented that only mangrove debris in the channels should be removed. Mr. Dorrill commented that staff will follow up on the suggested near-term clean-up work. Ms. Bobka commented that although the mangroves show leaf loss and stress, she has observed minimal mangrove mortality. After committee discussion of the lack of"plots" in the Irma-impacted area, Mr. Sterk agreed to come back to the committee with new proposed plots for monitoring the Irma-impacted areas. 2 Pelican Bay Services Division Clam Bay Committee Meeting October 3, 2017 OTHER UPDATES Mr. Sterk reported on his pre-hurricane observations of considerably reduced acreage of seagrass in the southern end of Clam Bay, most likely a result of poor pre-dredge conditions. CLAM PASS Dr. Dabees provided a post-hurricane update on the conditions in Clam Pass. He noted increased sand deposits in Sections B & C resulting from the storm surge. He suggested a survey of Sections B & C to document the storm's impact. He reported that 9000 yards of sand was removed from the inlet during the summer dredging project; 2944 yards of sand was deposited on the Pelican Bay beach. Ms. O'Brien commented that we are due to obtain a bathymetric survey to fulfill the Clam Bay Management Plan's requirement of an annual survey. Mr. Dorrill commented that the cost of the survey, including analysis, is approximately $6,500. Ms. Jacob suggested that the PBSD Board considers including the cost of annual maintenance dredging in future PBSD budgets. Dr. Dabees suggested that the PBSD budget include "dredging reserve funds" to address any future dredging emergencies. Dr. Trecker commented that per the Clam Bay Management Plan, certain conditions must exist in order to start the planning process of a Clam Pass dredging event. He suggested that the PBSD Board consider internal funding for"maintenance dredging." WATER QUALITY SEDIMENT REPORT Mr. Hall commented on his April 2017 Clam Bay Sediment & Surface Water Copper Analysis Report included in the agenda packet, highlighting high copper levels in the sediment in the north end of Clam Bay. Dr. Trecker provided a document (which was added to the record) entitled, "Sediment measurements in Clam Bay" which provided his conclusions on the THA report including (1) there is an enormous amount of copper in the sediment, (2) the ratios of water/sediment copper are very similar in the three bays, and (3) the copper in both the sediment and water column is highest in Upper Clam Bay and lowest in Outer Clam Bay. He commented that one cannot assume that improved "flushing" in the Clam Bay system would improve Clam Bay copper levels. Dr. Trecker also provided documents (which were added to the record) on phosphorus data in Clam Bay and Pelican Bay lakes during 2016 & 2017. He suggested that the high levels of phosphorus in the Vizcaya lake and Laurel Oaks lake may be contributing to the high phosphorus levels in Upper Clam Bay. COPPER RESULTS Ms. O'Brien commented that copper levels in Clam Bay remain "about the same" as reported in the nine site copper table, updated through July. SECOND QUARTER REPORT ON TP AND TN Mr. Hall reviewed the 2nd quarter Tomasko report on TP and TN (included in the agenda packet), highlighting the problematic phosphorus levels in Clam Bay. The 3rd quarter report should be available shortly. ADDING WATER CLARITY TO WQ PARAMETERS 3 Pelican Bay Services Division Clam Bay Committee Meeting October 3,2017 Mr. Hall recommended adding water clarity to WQ parameters; water clarity data may show that Clam Bay nutrient levels are sourced from the sediment. He suggested using a Secchi disk to obtain water clarity data. Staff will follow up on the status of Secchi disk training by selected PBSD personnel. WIN DATA ENTRY Mr. Hall reported that the County is in the process of changing their lab management system, and currently is not producing "adapt reports"which are used for input into WIN. WATER QUALITY SAMPLING AUGUST & SEPTEMBER(ADD-ON) Mr. Hall reported that (1) August samples were not adequately preserved at the County Lab as a result of a reported loss of refrigeration in the lab; Mr. Hall recommended discarding these samples, (2) August copper results will be provided by the County Lab, (3) as a result of Hurricane Irma, no samples were extracted in September. Mr. Dorrill and Mr. Hall agreed that THA would obtain October samples for water quality testing. ANNUAL REPORTS Committee members, consultants, and staff reviewed due dates of annual reports including, (1) the Clam Bay monitoring report and the bathymetric and tidal monitoring report are due on Dec. 15, and (2) the water quality report is due 30 days after the October WQ results are reported. CLAM PASS PARK UPDATE (ADD-ON) Ms. Jacob reported that the Clam Pass Park boardwalk was damaged by Hurricane Irma and is closed indefinitely (to trams and pedestrians). The County has hired an engineer to evaluate the boardwalk for safety purposes. NEXT MEETING: By consensus, the committee agreed that the next meeting of the committee would be held on December 7 at 1:30 p.m. ADJOURNMENT The meeting was adjourned at 11:55 a.m. Susan O'Brien, Chairman Minutes approved [ ] as presented OR [ 1 as amended ON [ ] date 4 l lumiston& Moore Engineers I ClainPass-TIDE Agenda Item#6b Page 1 of 1 C La m Pass Tide Monitoring-Click bga for Maintenance Dredging Project details z N ' 7crhv ;o Nit..d>. 1 i' AR, ri14 . ;SKxft2b .' A#t14E 32 � C'''''''''s / d�$ e „i <. ''• p lk ` , _ ` t f ,,,f+ 10 ..�! 5 � 1. l+2".- 1 t i- s ' ide Gages Location < (41 a �,fi,„,.. c ,, y „.,,,-;,,;.,N.74,',,,/,.a , J n. ...o�l.' �.,,�,2'”. .�i', �<r�,x.s ,,,s".),is::��"w>_��E"ri�:'Y�t:1�a txti. ' `�'.v Monthly Time Series 2017(Click on Thumbnails to Expand) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec H ft it is 11 . u [ i t Mean Low TideTime Lag-2017 3000 r er:aar aavorss, fa•rxarakr, S Y 250.01 I. , ' i E C 2000 11 1 I'. 2 d 11Marker 4 W MO I .k 1 nMarker 14 11!�i phtuker 26 100.0 3" asMarket 32 t Lin Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Ott Gage/Gulf Mean Tide Ratios-2017 0.9 C4tOGf r:Jrr<a1C Pout 0.E Trc-al Starm Pay 0.7 1 0.6 0MalkOf4 32 1 a Marker 14 1- I0.4 - iMaker26 1'o.3 v r 1 n"baker 32 0.2 ; a 1. tat<al 0.1 t r i0.0 i .. _ Lh111 ' rear ers Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug. Sep Oct Nov Occ at'lu. Gage/Gulf Mean Tide Ratios-2016 0.9 PASS T.S. 0.8 OREOOm u T.S.CODN HERMINE 03 Wi I ii3 ,. ";.. .a. ... .... 0.6 I a it Of CC OS _ .� rblarker 14 II' 0.4 # 1 tiMarker 26 10.3 i i . oMarker l2 U.2 S i . 1:, p . ,, m :id or 0.1 9 s I Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Oct as" / https://www.humistonandmoore.com/clampass-tide 11/30/2017 Agenda Item#6b-1 Page 1 of 1 Clam Pass tide Data NM.'2011 I NAW • : : • : : : • ; : : -2 1- -1 -1 -4 1.. -1 i I 'F.-A i•••-•-•1 01 02 03 04 06 C6 CP 03 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 19 19 20 21 22 23 34 25 Z 27 29 29 30 ° . -•* g ' • -2— -1 i 4 t i i i • -.4. i i.-..-1 4. i f I i 01 CO 03 04 CS C6 cm m 09 10 11 12 13 01 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 23 al 2f\i\i\kif\kr 1: I ! ! vv\p/v4Npw\phrlv,,v ,..\,AAirwiv\I I I f . . ; . 01 02 CO 04 05 01 07 01 09 10 11 12 13 11 1516 if 18 ID 23 21 22 23 24 23 Z 27 20 21 30 . 01 CO 03 04 OS C6 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 30 21 22 71 24 2S 26 27 28 29 30 2 -•• 1- I I I I 4 1 1 11. / 1 4, I 1. I 1 1 — 01 02 03 04 06 09 CV 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 111 17 IS 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 29 29 30 Days Agenda Item#7a Page 1 of 1 Clam Bay Copper ug/L Collection Date CBI. CB2 CB3 CB4 CB5 CB6 CB7 CB8 CB9 Report Date 6/22/2016 0.862 0.700 0.700 0.700 1.640 2.100 0.700 3.520 1.510 9/8/2016 7/20/2016 0.924 5.330 5.110 5.660 2.470 3.960 4.950 5.710 10.500 9/12/2016 7/20/2016 0.924 6.160 4.700 1.690 2.470 1.830 1.980 1.870 8.360 9/21/2016 8/25/2016 2.000 1.850 1.680 1.470 1.240 1.520 2.250 1.280 8.060 10/4/2016 9/20/2016 1.690 2.280 1.280 1.760 0.751 0.700 0.700 1.030 0.700 11/22/2016 10/12/2016 2.760 2.200 2.130 1.190 2.900 1.860 1.060 0.954 1.310 12/7/2016 11/9/2016 2.340 3.390 2.300 2.250 1.630 1.500 1.180 2.030 1.300 1/16/2017 12/6/2016 2.330 2.930 5.100 2.450 2.390 1.780 1.270 1.880 1.720 3/14/2017 1/19/2017 2.570 3.560 2.110 1.990 0.818 0.800 0.961 1.110 2.020 4/4/2017 2/23/2017 2.510 3.350 1.600 1.120 0.851 0.848 1.500 2.570 2.600 4/24/2017 3/21/2017 7.970 4.080 1.710 1.120 0.894 0.846 1.080 1.090 0.957 6/1/2017 4/18/2017 6.480 8.160 1.620 1.240 0.800 0.956 1.280 1.010 1.100 6/14/2017 5/24/2017 2.840 4.060 4.990 0.800 0.800 0.959 0.800 0.920 0.946 7/6/2017 6/21/2017 3.840 4.240 3.850 0.906 1.200 1.140 1.260 1.110 0.760 8/8/2017 7/13/2017 4.700 2.950 3.800 4.080 2.500 2.440 2.370 2.380 2.210 8/29/2017 8/14/2017 4.290 3.810 3.220 2.650 1.400 1.220 1.470 1.020 0.700 10/10/2017 Agenda Item#7b 4350 West Cypress Street Page d e� E L 1? Suite 950 1.vf# Tampa,FL 33607 813.207.7200 p cr 813.207.7201`,2x memorandum date October 17, 2017 to Tim Hall, Turrell, Hall and Associates, Inc. from David Tomasko, Ph.D. Emily Keenan, M.S. subject Quarter 3: Clam Bay NNC SSAC evaluation Background The United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) and Florida Department of Environmental Protection Agency (FDEP) adopted site specific alternative nutrient criteria (SSAC) for Clam Bay, as listed in Florida Administrative Code (FAC) 62-302.531. The SSAC were derived based upon a nutrient: salinity relationship from the Estero Bay Wetlands, a reference waterbody for water quality, as established by FDEP in prior TMDLs. The SSAC for Clam Bay is considered in the context of salinity due to the variability in nutrient concentrations that can be due to changes in freshwater inflow, rather than changes in nutrient concentrations alone. Therefore, the appropriate management response associated with any impairment determination is based upon the magnitude and duration of any exceedances. Based on prior work that showed that phytoplankton growth in Clam Bay was likely stimulated by both Total Nitrogen (TN) and Total Phosphorous (TP), both TN and TP are used to determine the degree of nutrient enrichment of Clam Bay's waters. As outlined in FAC 62- 302.531, water quality status is determined on an annual basis, preferably within a calendar year. Within a calendar year, each individual TN and TP value collected within the waterbody is compared to the nutrient: conductivity 90th percentile prediction limit (Figure 1), and an annual percent exceedance is calculated to determine the magnitude of exceedances per year. To be consistent with the method currently implemented by FDEP to identify impaired water bodies, if 13 percent or more of the TN or TP values in a calendar year exceed the 90th percentile prediction limit (after being normalized for conductivity) the duration of exceedance would then be determined. Based on the duration of exceedance (one year or greater than one year), the outcome designation is assigned. If fewer than 13 percent of the values exceed the 90th percent prediction limit, then the outcome is "0". If the magnitude (i.e., 13 percent) and duration (i.e., less than 1 year) of the exceedances are deemed small, the outcome is "1". If the magnitude or duration of the exceedances is large, then the outcome is "2". If both the magnitude and duration of the exceedances are large, then the outcome is "3". The Agenda Item#7b Page2of7 management response for Clam Bay would be determined based on the outcomes assigned to both the TN and TP evaluations for the magnitude and duration of exceedance (Figure 2). The water quality status of Clam Bay would be assigned a green, yellow, or red designation annually based on the magnitude and duration of exceedances of the 90th percent prediction limit. The color designation is then used to determine what level(s) of management actions are appropriate. Annual management response actions are based on the response to nutrient concentrations of phytoplankton and dissolved oxygen (DO) as well as impacts on water clarity (Figure 3). If the outcome of the TN and TP evaluation is green, then no management actions are required. However, if the outcomes are yellow or red then further evaluation of the effect of elevated nutrient concentrations on both phytoplankton biomass and DO concentrations need to be reviewed. If there is no relationship between nutrients and chlorophyll-a or DO, then no management actions are required. If there is a signification relationship, then the impact of chlorophyll-a on the water clarity (Secchi disk depth) would be evaluated. If there is no relationship between chlorophyll-a and water clarity, then no management actions are required. If there is a significant relationship between chlorophyll-a concentrations and water clarity, an outcome designation of"yellow" (indicative of small magnitude or duration of exceedances) identifies that management actions should be taken to identify the potential causes and responses for the elevated nutrient levels. It the outcome designation is "red" (indicative of a large magnitude or duration of exceedances), management actions should be taken to implement recommended response tactics to reduce nutrient concentrations. In this manner, the "health" of Clam Bay is to be assessed annually. Figure 1. Clam Bay water quality flow chart. D >13%of all TN&forTP values from a calendar year exceed the 90%prediction limit No j from the reference WB 10? Outcome 4 Yes ?13;0Magnitude of >_15°0 exceedance Duration of Duration of exceedance - I exceedance 1 year >1 year 1 year i >1 year Outcomes OutcomeI Outcome 2 Outcome3 2 Agenda Item#7b Page 3 of 7 Figure 2. Management response matrix using outcomes from both TN and TP evaluation. Total Phosphorus Total Nitrogen Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Outcome 2 Outcome 3 Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Outcome 2 Outcome 3 Figure 3. Management response actions in response to various outcomes. Green Yellow or Red Response III evaluation Evaluate phytoplankton f significant dissolved oxygen (p<o.OS) Not significant response to nutrient (ro.osi concentrations Evaluate water clarity ta:r arit _..__. response to chlorophyll-a {p-4.o5) Significant ip<4,05) Small difference or short duration Identify potential causes and implement Identify potential recommended response Large difference or causes and long dui ation responses 3 Agenda Item#7b Page 4 of 7 Data Analysis The analysis conducted below was used to assess the water quality status of Clam Bay during the months of May 2017 to July 2017. Since the SSAC developed for Clam Bay is to be evaluated on an annual time step, this analysis provides insight into current water quality conditions within the Bay, but it does not substitute for the more comprehensive annual assessment required. Clam Bay surface water quality data were provided by Turrell, Hall and Associates, Inc. for comparison with the FDEP adopted SSAC established for Clam Bay and found within FAC. 62-302-532 -1-j. The NNC SSAC states the following; "No more than 10 percent of the individual Total Phosphorus (TP) or Total Nitrogen (TN) measurements shall exceed the respective TP Upper Limit or TN Upper Limit." The TP and TN upper limits are calculated using equations 1 and 2: Equation 1: TP Upper Limit (mg/L)= e(-1.06256-0.0000328465'Conductivity(Ns)) Equation 2: TN Upper Limit (mg/L)= 2.3601 — 0.0000268325*Conductivity(PS) The dataset was supplemented with in situ water quality data (e.g., temperature, dissolved oxygen, pH, conductivity, and salinity) retrieved from the chain of custody forms for each sampling event. The corresponding TN or TP Upper Limit was calculated for each Clam Bay estuarine water quality station and sampling date in which conductivity was available using Equations 1 and 2. TN and TP concentrations were compared to the derived upper limit thresholds to ascertain if elevated concentrations were identified (Appendix A). Results Over the period analyzed in this memo (May 2017 to July 2017), there were no TN measurement from the open waters of Clam Bay (from the 9 ambient water quality stations sampled three times each) which exceeded the respective Upper Limits. In the prior quarter (February, March and April of 2017) only one site exceeded TN criteria, Station 1 in Upper Clam Bay. In contrast, 11 of the 27 TP measurements (41 percent) exceeded their respective Upper Limits during the months of May 2017 to July 2017. In the prior quarterly report, 13 of 27 samples exceeded NNC criteria for TP. It should be noted that laboratory detection limits can sometimes come into play when comparing values against criteria, as detection limits sometimes are such that values have to be "rounded up" based on minimum detection limits. Based on the results from this time period, and if the frequency of exceedance seen here was to be maintained over the course of a calendar year, Clam Bay would likely be determined to be impaired for TP. The 11 TP exceedances are illustrated in Table 1. Exceedances of the TP criteria were observed in Outer, Inner and Upper Clam Bays in May and June, but no exceedances were found in July. In May of 2017, elevated TP concentrations were observed at all but station 9, which is located in the canal system south of Seagate Drive. In June of 2017, the three TP 4 Agenda Item#7b Page 5 of 7 exceedances occurred within Inner and Outer Clam Bay (stations 3 and 8, respectively) and also at station 9, which had been the only site not to have been impaired in May 2017. There were no exceedances of the TP criteria in July of 2017. Table 1. Observed TP Exceedances (marked with an "X") at the ambient Clam Bay surface water sample sites over the period of November 2016 to July 2017. Sampling event Station Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 1 X X X X 2 X X X X X 3 X X X 4 X X 5 X X X 6 X X X 7 X X 8 X X 9 X X May of 2017 had the greatest number of TP exceedances of the nine monthly sampling events, with all stations but 9 (south of Seagate Drive) being out of compliance with NNC criteria. Interestingly, the only two months with no exceedances of TP criteria are January of 2017 and July of 2017, which represent conditions of water temperature and rainfall patterns that are quite different from each other. In addition, water quality data from the seven Clam Bay Outfall monitoring stations were compared to the proposed downstream protective values (DPV) for Clam Bay (PBS&J 2011). Outfall TN and TP concentrations were compared to the median and 90th percentile DPV values to determine if elevated concentrations were identified (Appendix B). The median and 90th percentile DPVs for TN are 1.31 and 1.80 mg/L, respectively (PBS&J 2011). The median and 90th percentile DPVs for TP are 0.10 and 0.25 mg/L, respectively. For TN, 47 and 21 percent of the values exceeded the median and 90th percentile DPV criteria, respectively, during the months of April to June of 2017 (Table 2). It should be noted that a "median" value represents a value where 50 percent of samples would be expected to be in exceedance. Similarly, it would be expected by chance alone that 10 percent of values would exceed the 90th percentile DPV, vs. the 21 percent of TN values that exceeded the 90th percentile value. For TP, 89 percent of values exceeded the median DPV criterion, while 32 percent of values exceeded the 90th percentile DPV criterion. 5 Agenda Item#7b Page 6 of 7 Table 2. Percentage of TN or TP concentrations from outfall stations which exceeded the median or 90th percentile DPV values. DPV Total Nitrogen Total Phosphorus Median 90th Percentile Median 90th Percentile Percent of values below 53 79 11 68 Percent of values above 47 21 89 32 Discussion It should be noted that because this data analysis is not based on a full year of water quality data, and thus while it is indicative of potential findings for a calendar year, it is not necessarily predictive of what would be found with a calendar years' worth of data. The FDEP-adopted SSAC for Clam Bay requires data analysis on a calendar year basis (FAC 62-302.531). However, quarterly status reports can be useful as an early warning system if water quality appears to be significantly different from expected ranges. As in past reports, the findings displayed here suggest phosphorus concentrations in the open waters of Clam Bay are likely problematic, as 41 percent of TP values exceed a threshold criterion value meant to "hold the line" on nutrient concentrations in the bays. In addition, elevated nutrient concentrations at outfall sampling locations are indicated by the finding that 32 percent of TP and 21 percent of TN values from sampled outfall locations exceed a criterion that is expected to be exceeded only 10 percent of the time. These findings suggest that elevated TP concentrations in Clam Bay could be due to activities occurring on the watershed, although elevated TP values could also be due to natural sources within the bay, such as nutrient loads from seabirds (guano is rich with phosphorus). Such findings suggest that sampling of the watershed, such as occurs at the outfall locations, should continue. At the outfall locations, concentrations of nitrogen do not appear to be overly problematic, as exceedance rates for the median DPV concentration are mostly in-line with expectations. However, the highest TN values were more common than expected, as more than 20 percent of samples exceeded a criterion that was only expected to be exceeded 10 percent of the time. For phosphorus, 89 percent of samples exceeded a threshold criterion that was only expected to be exceeded 50 percent of the time. In addition, 32 percent of TP values during May to July exceeded a threshold value that was only expected to be exceeded 10 percent of the time. Taken as a whole, the water quality data collected between the months of May and July of 2017 suggest that the open waters of Clam Bay have more phosphorus than would be expected, as 41 percent of samples exceeded the criteria spelled out for Clam Bay in the State of Florida's Impaired Waters Rule (FAC 62-302.531). For nitrogen, no such concern currently exists. These results come from sampling events during Southwest Florida's typical transition from dry to wet season weather patterns, and the water quality in the bay represents a mixture of freshwater runoff and tidal influences from the Gulf of Mexico that occurs during these months. 6 Agenda Item#7b Page 7 of 7 Maintenance of the flushing influence of Clam Pass is important to the water quality of Clam Bay. If Clam Pass was to close, the elevated nutrient concentrations from watershed runoff would likely result not only in the expression of eutrophication through mechanisms such as phytoplankton and/or macroalgae blooms, but the reduced tidal mixing and lowered salinities would likely result in Clam Bay exceeding its FDEP-adopted water quality standards. 7 Agenda Item#7b-1 Page 1 of 1 Total Phosphorus Exceedances in Clam Bay SS 1 SS 2 SS 3 SS 4 SS 5 SS 6 SS 7 SS 8 SS 9 3/25/15 X X 4/29/15 X X X X 5/26/15 X X _ 6/30/15 X X 7/16/15 X 8/26/15 9/16/15 X 10/21/15 X X X 11/17/15 12/09/15 1/13/16 X 2/25/16 3/23/16 X X X 4/27/16 X 5/25/16 X X X X 6/22/16 X X X 7/20/16 X X 8/25/16 X X 9/20/16 X X X 10/12/16 11/09/16 X 12/06/16 X 1/19/17 2/23/17 X X X X 3/21/17 X X X X X 4/18/17 X X X X 5/24/17 X X X X X X X X 6/21/17 X X X 7/13/17 Total 17 14 5 3 7 4 5 2 3 #7b-2 Agenda Item .4.rItv - -,.`1 -, „,„,....,A;.44-4`.- Quality ...„..., .., ,...-, Water ,..,,x,!5.-.... . .,..,. .,,,..---....tz..,...,,,,...-„-,,t.i._ ' Clam Bay Locations .-.---,,4-,- ,...„, ,.: . ..,.. .. 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X X X 9I/ZZ/9 8 Z x x x x 9I/Sz/s L I, ' X 91/LZ/ti X X X 9I/£Z/£ ---77" 1 9t/SZ/Z o x 9t/£t/t / 4.2 7 ST/60/Zi 7 , Z St/LIIII 0 z 1 X X X SI/TZ/OI If,' '2 X sT19116 .3-E--i5S1/9Z/8 / b b X ST/91IL z,A S' X X SI/O£/9 S/ '1. X x St/9Z/S 5 L - I X X X X SI/6z/ti i„'/ _ x x s1/sz/£ �1�o s��,,u 6 SS 8 SS L SS 9 SS S SS ti SS E SS Z SS I SS Ae8 weo u! sapuepaapx3 snaoydsoyd leloi 1.10L abed .-qL#wall epuaby Observations and Recommendations Based upon a review of the August 2017 monitoring results,the following observations were made regarding the water quality trends within the six Pelican Bay stormwater lakes. Nutrients have shown little response over the past year.The lakes continue to experience nutrient concentrations at hypereutrophic levels.While some lakes have experienced slightly lower levels since the last quarter,the improvements are not statistically significant.Basin 6 showed a significant increase in TP levels in February 2017 which cannot be explained and may be related to physical perturbations of the settled sediment within the lakes in this basin.TP levels have since declined and returned to levels previously recorded in this basin. Total recoverable copper concentrations remain significantly lower than those measured prior to August 2013 when copper sulfate use for algae control ceased.All lakes experienced a decrease in average total` copper concentration in August 2017 compared to the preceding quarter,well below elevated historical concentrations.This trend shows continuing improvement in cooper levels in the stormwater lakes. Seasonal patterns in copper concentrations appear driven but rainfall.August is the peak of the normal wet season when stormwater flows dominate the water balance,thereby diluting concentrations of conservative ions.February is during the driest period,when groundwater inputs dominate with greater inorganic ion concentrations.However,copper concentrations appear to have reached an equilibrium with sediment cycling but a declining trend is notable. While an overall decline in copper concentrations has been observed in the lakes,copper concentrations continue to be significantly above the Florida Class Ill water body standard.While state water quality criteria are not directly applicable to the stormwater lakes,the FDEP has expressed concern that stormwater discharges to Clam Bay may be having an effect on estuarine water quality for copper. Long-term data indicate that both phosphorus and copper are cycling from lake sediments and have reached equilibrium.Controlling phosphorus cycling could reduce the potential for algal blooms. Planting littoral vegetation would promote additional treatment and reduce the overall nitrogen load to the bay. 14